Short Ethereum (ETH)

4月30日

I've conducted a detailed analysis of Ethereum's historical corrections and are using that information to anticipate a potential correction in the current bull run. Given the bearish divergence on the daily timeframe and Ethereum's historical correction patterns,I anticipate a correction ranging from 50% to 80%, considering rational and worst-case scenarios.

Trade Idea: Short Ethereum (ETH)

Analysis:

Bearish Divergence: The presence of bearish divergence on the daily timeframe suggests a potential weakening of bullish momentum, which could lead to a correction in Ethereum's price.
Historical Corrections: Based on my analysis of previous bull runs, Ethereum has experienced corrections ranging from 60% to 93%. Considering these historical patterns, I anticipate a correction ranging from 50% to 80% in the current bull run.
Trade Setup:

Entry: Wait for confirmation of the downtrend by observing a break below key support levels or a bearish continuation pattern on lower timeframes. Alternatively, you can use a sell stop order to enter the trade once the price breaches a significant support level.
Stop-loss: Set the stop-loss order above the recent swing high or a key resistance level to limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses. Adjust the stop-loss level based on the volatility of Ethereum and your risk tolerance.
Take-profit: Determine multiple take-profit targets based on key support levels, Fibonacci retracement levels, or a favorable risk-reward ratio. Consider scaling out of the position as the price approaches each target to lock in profits.
Risk Management:

Position Size: Calculate your position size based on your risk tolerance and the potential range of the correction. Ensure that you only risk a predetermined percentage of your trading capital per trade.
Risk-Reward Ratio: Aim for a risk-reward ratio that aligns with your trading strategy and risk appetite. Given the potential for a significant correction, prioritize trades with favorable risk-reward ratios.
Conclusion:

With bearish divergence on the daily timeframe and historical precedent suggesting potential corrections ranging from 50% to 80%, a short position on Ethereum presents a compelling trading opportunity. However, always conduct thorough analysis, practice proper risk management, and remain vigilant for any unexpected market developments.