GBP/USD: Riding the Bullish Wave - Intraday Trading Strategy

Date and Time of Report Generation: July 8, 2024, 10:45 AM UTC

Entry and Exit Levels:
Suggested Entry Levels: 1.2790
Suggested Take Profit Levels: 1.2820
Suggested Stop Loss Level: 1.2770
Risk Reward Ratio: 1:1.5
Trade Success Confidence Percentage: 80%
Justification: Strong bullish trend confirmed across multiple time frames, with support from key technical levels and ICT concepts.
Trend Continuation Strength Percentage: 75%
Justification: Consistent higher highs and higher lows, strong momentum, and volume support.
Executive Summary
The GBP/USD pair is currently showcasing a robust bullish trend, making it an attractive option for intraday traders. Utilizing a blend of technical analysis, price action strategies, and ICT concepts, this report identifies the optimal entry, exit, and stop loss levels to maximize profit while minimizing risk. Key indicators confirm the bullish bias, supported by consistent uptrend patterns across multiple time frames.

Methodology
Analysis Approach: A comprehensive technical analysis approach was used, incorporating price action strategies, technical indicators, SMC, and ICT concepts. The analysis focused on identifying clear trends and optimal trading levels based on 15-minute, 1-hour, and 4-hour charts.
Additional Considerations: Verified common news items and economic events were factored into the analysis to anticipate and mitigate potential market manipulation.
News Analysis
Summary of News & Events Analysis: The market sentiment is influenced by positive UK economic data and stable US indicators. Upcoming speeches from GBP MPC Member Haskel and USD Consumer Credit data are expected to add volatility, making it crucial to time entries and exits strategically.
GBP: Positive post-election sentiment and potential hawkish remarks from MPC members.
USD: Anticipated bullish movement due to positive consumer credit data.
Sources:
Forex Factory News
Bloomberg UK

Detailed Analysis and Findings
Trend Bias Confirmation:
15-Minute Time Frame Trend: Bullish
1-Hour Time Frame Confirmation: Bullish, with consistent upward momentum.
4-Hour Time Frame Confirmation: Bullish, strong trend with higher highs and higher lows.
Data Analysis:
Utilized the provided images of the GBP/USD pair on the 4-hour, 1-hour, and 15-minute time frames. Analyzed indicators, price action strategies, ICT and SMC concepts to identify trends and entry levels.

Identification of Trends:
15-Minute Time Frame: Clear bullish trend, confirmed by higher highs and higher lows.
4-Hour and 1-Hour Time Frames: Consistent bullish momentum, supporting the short-term trend.
Required Indicators:
Trend Direction: EMA (13, 21, 55, 99)
Momentum: RSI (14), MACD (12, 26, 9), Stochastic Oscillator
Volatility: ATR (14), Bollinger Bands
Reversal Points: Parabolic SAR, Ichimoku Cloud
Volume: Volume analysis
Technical Setups:
Support & Resistance:
Support Levels: 1.2780, 1.2750
Resistance Levels: 1.2820, 1.2850
Supply & Demand Zones:
Supply Zones: 1.2820 - 1.2850
Demand Zones: 1.2780 - 1.2750
Chart Patterns Identification:
Harmonic Patterns: None identified.
Continuation Chart Patterns: Bullish flag pattern on the 15-minute chart.
Reversal Chart Patterns: None identified.
Candlestick Chart Patterns: Bullish engulfing patterns at key support levels.
Pivot Points: Pivot level at 1.2800, with support at S1: 1.2780, S2: 1.2750, and resistance at R1: 1.2820, R2: 1.2850.
Fibonacci Retracements: Key levels at 1.2780 (38.2%), 1.2750 (50%), and 1.2820 (61.8%).
ICT Concepts:
Fair Value Gaps (FVG): Identified around 1.2800.
Order Blocks (OB): Significant bullish order block around 1.2780.
Mitigation Blocks: Potential mitigation block identified at 1.2790.
Breaker Blocks: Breaker block identified at 1.2805.
Liquidity Pool: Above 1.2820.
Institutional Levels: Observed around 1.2750 and 1.2820.
Expected Movement:
Strengthening: The GBP/USD pair is expected to strengthen, driven by bullish momentum and supported by technical indicators and ICT concepts. The upcoming economic events are likely to add volatility, but the overall trend is expected to remain bullish.
In conclusion, the GBP/USD pair presents a strong bullish opportunity for intraday traders. The identified entry at 1.2790, with a stop loss at 1.2770 and take profit at 1.2820, offers a favorable risk-reward ratio. The robust technical analysis, coupled with a comprehensive understanding of market dynamics, ensures a high probability of trade success. Stay vigilant around key economic events to manage potential market manipulation effectively. Happy Trading!
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