GBPUSD is currently testing and respecting a critical resistance level around 1.31500, showing signs of a potential reversal after printing a daily wick rejection. This level aligns with the upper range of recent price action(downtrend), and a failure to break above could signal an opportunity for bears to take control.
Current Market Conditions:
Resistance Test: The pair is facing strong resistance at 1.31500, with multiple rejections around this zone. Bearish Setup: A clear bearish candlestick pattern is forming at the resistance, indicating sellers might soon dominate. Breakout or Reversal: Watch for a potential breakout above 1.32000 or a strong reversal towards 1.29000 if the resistance holds.
Fundamental Analysis/Outlook:
Recent macroeconomic data from the UK suggests mixed signals regarding inflation and growth, putting pressure on the Bank of England to consider its next move cautiously. The US dollar remains resilient, bolstered by safe-haven demand, which adds further downside risk to GBPUSD if the resistance holds. Traders should be cautious of the Fed interest rate decision on Wednesday.
Targets:
TP1:1.30500 TP2:1.30000 TP3:1.29000
Risk Management:
Stop-Loss:Place your stop-loss above the resistance at 1.32000 to protect against unexpected breakouts.
Conclusion:
GBPUSD is poised for a potential downside move if the 1.31500 resistance holds strong. Keep a close eye on price action around this level for a clearer direction. Bears could capitalize on the opportunity if the pair continues to show rejection.
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Trading Insight: "Resistance is not just a price level; it’s a test of the market's conviction."