GDXJ: Testing the waters

After jumping down from its last high at the lower edge of the blue zone between $51.27 and $62.63, GDXJ has fallen below the mark at $36.58 to test the waters of the magenta zone between $37.26 and $24.77. We expect it to gather more downward pressure to advance deeper into the magenta zone, where it should finish wave ii in magenta. Then, the ETF should turn around and climb back above $36.58. From there, it should continue the ascent towards the resistance at $51.92. However, there is a 30% chance that GDXJ could break through the magenta zone and subsequently drop below the support at $19.52 instead.