GOLD - Next Top Coming Up

9月25日

Gold is approaching a long term bear market extension; 1.618 Golden Window (1.618 - 1.786, $2796 - 3096).

And this month candle is quite a large one with a few days to go.

So its looking quite impulsive in this area...

If we look at the monthly RSI, it is approaching 81 and the previous peak was 84.

As we see time and time again, RSI often rhymes when it comes to major pivots.

With the RSI only a few points from 84 and price so close to the 1.618, these could be a BIG clue that a significant pivot is coming.

I'm not saying that a major downtrend will form, but it could do.

Another possibility is a higher time frame continuation pattern will print; perhaps this is the most likely outcome.

If that did happen, price may not fall too drastically but as RSI rhymes, it may take its sweet time and an extended correction would print before RSI falls back to the mid point from where the next wave up could begin.

We could be into 2026 or longer by the time that happens.

There is also the possibility that it will blast through and the a higher ratio (2.272) will be the telling significant ratio.

And that could happen, but I think it has to be at least equal odds or better, that doesn't happen.

Considering that and what other assets are currently available, you would have to really like Gold to hold on beyond the Golden Window (up to 1.786).

And if you really like the safe and steady game then that could be a good reason to simply hold.

There is nothing wrong with that.

But I'm playing the game of making hay while the sun shines ☀️.

And that game doesn't want to get caught up in long multi year corrections.

There's just too much great deep value discounts to buy elsewhere.

And Gold is very much not deep value up here.

That said, it may have a long way to go until any significant bear market which could be many years away and at much higher prices.

If it is consolidation rather than significant bearish action then it could open wide the door for other metals to pump.

I will be taking profit @ $2795 👍.

Not shorting.

Not advice.

9月25日

注释

Don't forget to BOOST / COMMENT if you'd like to see my output get higher in the TradingView lists 👍.

I had a little browse and I didn't see any other publishers with these technical considerations 🤔.

10月29日

交易开始

Nearly there...

6天前

注释

Wow that 1.618 really did get front ran.

As I pointed out this is exactly what happened with Bitcoin in 2021



This is why it is important to take some profits early and not get too greedy.

I think perhaps the market makers knew that Gold is known for hitting fibs without too much fuss.

And probably trapped a lot of traders in making the front run change up.

Anyhow in terms of rotation, gold is now cooked and not really of interest anymore.

Even though it looks quite bearish here, the chances are it will at some point probe up to print Wyckoff UT and hit the 1.618 🧐.