19 Apr 2024– Nifty Unseen 402pts momentum, not bullish though
Nifty Analysis - Stance Bearish⬇️
Recap from yesterday: On the higher TF, we wish to maintain the bearish stance even though we did not get a 63mts closing candle below 22051. I am hoping that we may get one in the forenoon session tomorrow.
Unseen momentum on Nifty50 today, we woke up to the bad news that Israel has launched counter strike on Iran, and Gifty (Global Nifty futures) were trading 400 points lower. The news and Twitter feed were not looking good and immediately I felt it was wise not to run my non-directional algo. That proved to be the right decision as my backtests showed losses of 97000 if I had run the Algo.
Nifty opened below the support of 21913, hit an intraday low of 21777, and then started recovering. Between 11.27 to 12.11, N50 spent its time near the 21913 SR zone. Once it broke the resistance, it immediately went to the next SR of 22051. Between 12.51 to 13.47, N50 spent its time at 22051 before breaking out. N50 went ahead and hit an intraday high of 22179 before cooling off to close at 22149.
When was the last time you saw N50 rally 402pts that too from poor global macros? I strongly think it was an intense short covering that fueled this rally and hence does not wish to alter my bearish stance. If we get past 22295 on Monday or Tuesday, I would change the stance to neutral.
Recap from yesterday: On the higher TF, we wish to maintain the bearish stance even though we did not get a 63mts closing candle below 22051. I am hoping that we may get one in the forenoon session tomorrow.
Unseen momentum on Nifty50 today, we woke up to the bad news that Israel has launched counter strike on Iran, and Gifty (Global Nifty futures) were trading 400 points lower. The news and Twitter feed were not looking good and immediately I felt it was wise not to run my non-directional algo. That proved to be the right decision as my backtests showed losses of 97000 if I had run the Algo.
Nifty opened below the support of 21913, hit an intraday low of 21777, and then started recovering. Between 11.27 to 12.11, N50 spent its time near the 21913 SR zone. Once it broke the resistance, it immediately went to the next SR of 22051. Between 12.51 to 13.47, N50 spent its time at 22051 before breaking out. N50 went ahead and hit an intraday high of 22179 before cooling off to close at 22149.
When was the last time you saw N50 rally 402pts that too from poor global macros? I strongly think it was an intense short covering that fueled this rally and hence does not wish to alter my bearish stance. If we get past 22295 on Monday or Tuesday, I would change the stance to neutral.
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