Bears hungry for a BIRD sandwich: Sell NZD?

2022年10月18日

There are three days of longs in the market and little in the way of a shake-out, at least below Tuesday's US session lows of 0.5646. The price action took break-out traders up into the 0.5720 area only to be hit by strong sellers, resulting in a move into Day-2 longs from the Asian and the European session and in doing so, causing a vacuum of bids that resulted in a break of the trend line.

This may encourage further selling below the US session highs for the day ahead and risks a sell-off, potentially back towards the lows of the week and into Day-1 longs. The bearish flag that is already looking pretty mature and the prospects of a head and shoulders topping pattern only go to reinforce the bearish thesis for the day ahead.