SPY: Update and long term forecast

2017年5月19日

We're long SPY, from yesterday's lows, aiming to ride the long term uptrend for as long as possible from here onwards. The signal we had was one of a major market bottom, so there is a significant chance that we don't see drawdown going forward, and just a steady trend. The weekly trends show very interesting signals, with confluence of a downtrend's time running out, while a new weekly uptrend signal can confirm next week, and while longer term trends are at play, implying upside can be quite steady and significant for a long time.

Best of luck,

Ivan Labrie.

2017年7月21日

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One more week left for the rally in SPY, then it could correct for 10 weeks We will hedge our portfolio next week.

2017年7月27日

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And hedged, closed longs. Shorted ES futures.



There's a distinct chance we see a significant correction now.

2017年8月10日

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SPY can drop 5.08% from the top during the next 7 weeks We will monitor the action to enter longs at the bottom.

2017年8月25日

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I think the correction might have bottomed. Let's wait and see...since sentiment recovered, I started buying back into hedges, after going long quality names at the bottom.

2017年10月6日

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Read my updates here:

2017年10月22日

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This is a great forecast for now, looks viable.

2018年2月10日

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See the 2 month timeframe post for updates.