SPY: A Dangerous Turning Point (D&W charts).
The SPY chart exhibits some key technical aspects worth noting.
On the daily chart, the price action has recently tested the double support area around the 21-day EMA and the 550 level. This confluence of support has provided a temporary floor, allowing the price to bounce back. However, if SPY misses this key support level in the future, it'll officially trigger a bearish reversal to its next support levels, like the 542, or even lower.
On the weekly chart, the bearish engulfing pattern stands out. This pattern, occurring after reaching an all-time high, indicates a potential reversal or a strong corrective phase - if triggered. SPY's price would need to lose last week's low to trigger this pattern, which is very close to the 550 support seen on the daily chart. Therefore, this is a critical support area on multiplie time frames.
The price action following this pattern suggests a weakening of the bullish momentum that previously drove the SPY to new highs. The 21-week EMA will be crucial as it has historically served as a dynamic support level throughout the upward trend, and it'll be a technical target if SPY reverses the bullish sentiment.
The interplay between these support levels and the reaction to the bearish engulfing pattern will be critical in determining the next phase for the SPY. The trend is still bullish, but we are trading around a dangerous area, which could act as a major turning point for SPY.
For now, let's closely monitor the price action around these levels, especially the behavior near the 550 support and the 529.08 EMA, for further clues on the ETF's direction.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
On the daily chart, the price action has recently tested the double support area around the 21-day EMA and the 550 level. This confluence of support has provided a temporary floor, allowing the price to bounce back. However, if SPY misses this key support level in the future, it'll officially trigger a bearish reversal to its next support levels, like the 542, or even lower.
On the weekly chart, the bearish engulfing pattern stands out. This pattern, occurring after reaching an all-time high, indicates a potential reversal or a strong corrective phase - if triggered. SPY's price would need to lose last week's low to trigger this pattern, which is very close to the 550 support seen on the daily chart. Therefore, this is a critical support area on multiplie time frames.
The price action following this pattern suggests a weakening of the bullish momentum that previously drove the SPY to new highs. The 21-week EMA will be crucial as it has historically served as a dynamic support level throughout the upward trend, and it'll be a technical target if SPY reverses the bullish sentiment.
The interplay between these support levels and the reaction to the bearish engulfing pattern will be critical in determining the next phase for the SPY. The trend is still bullish, but we are trading around a dangerous area, which could act as a major turning point for SPY.
For now, let's closely monitor the price action around these levels, especially the behavior near the 550 support and the 529.08 EMA, for further clues on the ETF's direction.
For more detailed technical analyses and insights like this, be sure to follow my account. Your support helps me continue providing valuable content to help you make informed trading decisions.
Remember, real trading is reactive, not predictive, so let's stay focused on the key points described above and only trade when there is confirmation.
“To anticipate the market is to gamble. To be patient and react only when the market gives the signal is to speculate.” — Jesse Lauriston Livermore
All the best,
Nathan.
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