SPY appears to be trading within a consolidation range, bounded by resistance at around $575.00 and support near $569.90. There’s a symmetrical triangle formation on the chart, with the price nearing the apex. This pattern suggests that a breakout or breakdown is likely in the near term.
2. Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Levels: $571.47: The price is currently testing this level, which seems to be acting as support. $569.90: A strong horizontal support zone. If broken, the price could fall towards the lower support around $567.64. $567.64: Major support zone to watch for if a breakdown occurs below $570.
Resistance Levels: $573.24: Immediate resistance, currently near the middle of the consolidation range. $574.22: Stronger resistance and key level to watch for a breakout. $575.00-$576.07: The upper resistance zone and key target in case of a bullish breakout.
3. Price Action: Symmetrical Triangle: Price action is squeezed within this pattern, which suggests indecision. A breakout or breakdown from the triangle will determine tomorrow’s directional bias. If the price breaks above $573.24, expect a continuation towards $574.22 and possibly $575.00. A breakout above the $575 area would signal bullish momentum. Conversely, if the price falls below $571.47 and especially $569.90, a bearish move could be confirmed, with potential targets around $567.64 and lower.
4. Entry/Exit Strategy: Bullish Entry: Consider a long position if SPY breaks above $573.24, targeting $574.22 and $575.00. Set a stop loss just below $571.47 to protect against a false breakout. Bearish Entry: A short position can be taken if SPY breaks below $569.90, with targets around $567.64 and $565.00. A stop loss can be placed just above $571.47.
5. Directional Bias: Neutral to Bearish: Given the consolidation and proximity to support, the directional bias leans slightly bearish. However, since the price is within a symmetrical triangle, the key lies in waiting for a breakout or breakdown.
Watch the $571.47 and $573.24 levels closely for confirmation of the trend for tomorrow’s trading session. A break of either of these levels will likely set the direction.