"We are either moving into a completely new paradigm, or the speculative energy in the market is incredibly out of control. I think it is the latter. I have said before that we have entered the silly season, but I stand corrected. We are in the ludicrous season."
注释
sethmarcus one has to consider YOY fund manager cash levels and rationalize why things are acting as they are in the market. Minerd did not do that!
Bullish sethmarcus from a recent post of J.C. I can suggest there may be many more charts out there that identify short term market momentum weakening alongside high beta issues now underperforming. Regardless, there’s greater fear from overbought conditions that leads to the search of biased chart validation ie most everyone r cognizes overbought conditions as the SPX is now 3stdv. above it’s 200-DMA. Algorithms coded for such conditions can automatically generate fanciful divergence signals in and around the market which validate the recognized primer of overbought conditions. What’s most important is the calculus of cash balance:exposure/leverage. The tail is much fatter than the retweeted chart bears. As stated previously, the bond play had almost no chance of failure given the inevitability of bond performance but the same can be said for SPX, which further evidences a poor investing discipline in the bond trade.