TLT Roadmap Dec 2023
已更新
Yields are likely in early stages of significant multi-month retrace lower into summer 2024
注释
Good start注释
Early stage注释
More pulling back ahead注释
Should start turning up注释
Very good price action following the expected path注释
I made a mistake with the instrument here, instead of TLT should have used IEF as 10 yr yields will fall faster than 30 yr yields注释
It is highly likely that this upswing starting Oct 2023 extends into Oct 2025. Obviously no straight line but some correction starting Aug into Oct 2024注释
Entertaining to say the least注释
Market participants are fully imposing the Trump trade across asset markets. This most likely will form a triangle (currently D wave forming to the downside) before new highs in yields/lows in bonds注释
Bonds setting initial low on that decline likely this week注释
JP was a bit hesitant yesterday which is incrementally hawkish (as was Logan). I was very confident that this will happen once DJT wins. More cuts will further destabilize yields注释
Probably quick rally this week
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