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TEN-YEAR TREASURY YIELD TUMBLES WITH OIL ... It should come as no surprise to see bond yields tumbling this week along with crude oil. Both markets have been trending higher together over the past year (with a 60-day Correlation Coefficient of .77). And both have similar chart patterns. The daily bars in Chart 3 shows the 10-Year Treasury Yield (TNX) falling 13 basis points this past week. [Its weekly percentage drop of -4.4% nearly matches the -4.9% drop in oil]. The TNX is now testing its first line of support near 2.91% and its 50-day average (blue line). If that doesn't hold, a further drop toward its early April bottom (2.71%) could be in store.
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