Updating the US10Y Bonds.

Data for Kissing/Crossing 200Weekly MA:
2017-2019? One year nothing then 11%/20%
2015-2016 : 14%
2015-9 months sideways then 12%
2015 xxxx nothing
2013-2014 Long bull move. 9% pullback.
2011- 8%
2011- 7%
2010- 17%
2005-2007 : xxx long Bull move the crash
05-6%
05- 7%
04- 8%
1999-13%/10%/13% then crash
1997- 10% the bull move.
1996-8% Choppy Market then bull move
1994-9% then big bullish market ( 1 Year choppy market)
20%
11%
7%
7%
8%
36%
14 %
----------------------------------------------------------------------
Summary: 24 signals Kissing or Crossing 200W MA.
18 signals we went down @ kissing/crossing .
Kissing/crossing happened a during pullbacks.
6 months-Year nothing happened then crash crossing
down.
75% success rate we will get a pullback/correction
kissing/crossing 200w MA.
25% we will continue a Bullish till crossing down then crash
- 2 Years after crossing then crash 2007
-2015 cross up/down = Nothing happen to SPX !!!

评论:

Correction signal is flashing with success rate of 75%