FXTM

Can USDJPY sellers maintain control ?

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OANDA:USDJPY   美元/日元
The USDJPY currency pair on the Daily Chart has been in a downtrend since 24 April 2019 when it registered the high price at 112.400. Subsequently, the price displayed a series of lower tops and lower bottoms. On 25 June 2019, the USDJPY currency pair recorded the low price of 106.780. Applying Oscillator Analysis on the price chart, one can notice that price is trading below the SMA 60 period Moving Average line, a fact that confirms the downward direction of USDJPY currency pair. Furthermore, the MACD (Moving Average/Convergence Divergence) Oscillator is recording values below the zero line which hints to the bearish bias of financial instrument. Additionally, the RSI (Relative Strength Index) Oscillator registers values below the fifty line which indicates negative sentiment. All three technical indicators are in agreement for the downward bias of the financial instrument. Applying the Fibonacci tool on the price chart, three price targets may be calculated. The first price target is estimated at 107.998 (161.8%). The second price target is seen at 106.344 (261.8%). The third price target is projected at 103.668 (423.6%). The first target was reached successfully. The USDJPY currency pair is currently trading above the downtrend line, which signals the weakness of the bears to maintain the downward bias. The MACD (Moving Average Convergence/Divergence) Oscillator and price display a positive divergence which could pull the market higher as long as demand is greater than supply. Of course, supply and demand as well as the crowd sentiment will determine the course of USDJPY currency pair.

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