4-hr USD/JPY: Another 200 Pip Rise Not Impossible

The Dollar King continues to assert its dominance, with the EUR, GBP, and AUD seeing significant declines over the past weeks. This robust performance is fueled by the Fed’s hawkish comments on fewer rate cuts in 2025, bolstered by last week’s strong NFP and Unemployment data. The USD is poised for further gains in the near term, although a deeper correction may follow. Technically, after amassing hundreds of pips, a conservative pullback seems imminent. USD/JPY recently broke below its 60-period MA, a support level it previously respected, opening the door for a dip. The 23% Fibonacci retracement now serves as the next key support level, where a rebound could align with the pair’s strong upward momentum. A move toward 156.50, or slightly lower, may invite fresh speculative buying. Such activity is expected to drive USD/JPY another 200 pips upward, potentially retesting its highs above 158.60 and reinforcing the pair’s bullish trajectory.