VeChain做多
VET Has Made It This Far - Only A Couple of Targets Remain
已更新
Seriously congrats to all the VET holders who stuck it out through the bear market. Since the bottom on March 12th, 2020, VET has gone nearly 70x in value. It is performing in line with some cryptocurrencies from the fabled 2017 crypto bull market. Believe it or not, I called ATH levels for VET well over a year ago, when I felt it was undervalued when compared with XRP, a token with a similar supply. Instead of going straight up and mimicking XRP, VET took a while to establish a healthy uptrend, but has since been one of the better performing altcoins from the 2017-2018 era. Here is my original analysis: 
When we compare the two assets, it seems XRP only pumps hard and fast, resulting in a multi-year downtrend, while not really establishing a healthy uptrend within a bull market. This is perhaps why it has so much overhead resistance, though it can go parabolic itself soon if money flows into larger cap altcoins.
Here's the first follow-up to the original post:
My latest update:
And my study, comparing VET with WTC, and why I felt VET would continue to vastly outperform:
WTC still needs to go over 3x before it even begins to look bullish on longer timeframes.
This is a long overdue update. But what now? It's hard to say. My lower targets have all been reached, and it only needs to go a little over 100% from here to get to my $0.22 target. I plan on reducing my VET position further if I see prices continue to go parabolic from here. I'm also not ruling out a large correction towards the 100 day MA (now yellow on my chart), which could result in it dropping all the way towards 4 cents again. I don't claim to know at all where the next market peak will be, but I think if things really heat up for altcoins in the coming months, it can be a great selling opportunity for those of us who got in during the previous bear market. I do think the market may just have one more big move left in its tank. During this time, I can see many alts going another 10-50x.
What keeps me hopeful that VET can indeed pull an XRP (and even maybe hit $1, but I won't get too ahead of myself) is that it still has plenty of room to run against Bitcoin, especially on the weekly. I'm watching this pair as well.
And even against ETH, if the MACD crosses above the zero line. But it's currently at historical resistance (ETH run soon?)
On the bearish side, I want to see the 100 day MA (yellow) held on any larger market correction. I also don't want to see a large breakdown from the wedge I've drawn on this chart. A break ABOVE the wedge would be extremely bullish, and could pull VET up towards my higher targets. There is also support at the 50 day MA (red), which coincides nicely with the wedge support. Even then, that's a sizable retrace towards 5.5 cents.
Let's see! I'm in a decent position, with no initial risk left on the table. I may decide to skim some profit off the table if I see some signs of weakness from the market. Just because VET has achieved my initial targets does not mean it will necessarily head higher from here. If it does, I will be prepared.
This is not financial advice! This is meant for personal use, speculation, and education only.
-Victor Cobra
When we compare the two assets, it seems XRP only pumps hard and fast, resulting in a multi-year downtrend, while not really establishing a healthy uptrend within a bull market. This is perhaps why it has so much overhead resistance, though it can go parabolic itself soon if money flows into larger cap altcoins.
Here's the first follow-up to the original post:
My latest update:
And my study, comparing VET with WTC, and why I felt VET would continue to vastly outperform:
WTC still needs to go over 3x before it even begins to look bullish on longer timeframes.
This is a long overdue update. But what now? It's hard to say. My lower targets have all been reached, and it only needs to go a little over 100% from here to get to my $0.22 target. I plan on reducing my VET position further if I see prices continue to go parabolic from here. I'm also not ruling out a large correction towards the 100 day MA (now yellow on my chart), which could result in it dropping all the way towards 4 cents again. I don't claim to know at all where the next market peak will be, but I think if things really heat up for altcoins in the coming months, it can be a great selling opportunity for those of us who got in during the previous bear market. I do think the market may just have one more big move left in its tank. During this time, I can see many alts going another 10-50x.
What keeps me hopeful that VET can indeed pull an XRP (and even maybe hit $1, but I won't get too ahead of myself) is that it still has plenty of room to run against Bitcoin, especially on the weekly. I'm watching this pair as well.
And even against ETH, if the MACD crosses above the zero line. But it's currently at historical resistance (ETH run soon?)
On the bearish side, I want to see the 100 day MA (yellow) held on any larger market correction. I also don't want to see a large breakdown from the wedge I've drawn on this chart. A break ABOVE the wedge would be extremely bullish, and could pull VET up towards my higher targets. There is also support at the 50 day MA (red), which coincides nicely with the wedge support. Even then, that's a sizable retrace towards 5.5 cents.
Let's see! I'm in a decent position, with no initial risk left on the table. I may decide to skim some profit off the table if I see some signs of weakness from the market. Just because VET has achieved my initial targets does not mean it will necessarily head higher from here. If it does, I will be prepared.
This is not financial advice! This is meant for personal use, speculation, and education only.
-Victor Cobra
注释
Still working its way up within the wedge. If it can break above, it should double pretty quickly. If the market decides to correct from here, there's support at the uptrend, just below 8 cents. 注释
Well, there it is! 22 cents.注释
Pretty healthy consolidation so far. As long as Bitcoin continues to consolidate and doesn't begin a true bearish trend, we can see VET head towards the final targets ($0.40 and beyond).
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