Falling Wedges in Silver and Copper

Metals like silver and copper have been grinding lower for more than a year. This may create potential for bullish reversals -- especially after today’s softer-than-expected inflation report.

Falling wedges are developing on the weekly charts of both metals. That pattern may suggest downward movement is slowing, with the possibility of turns to the upside.

XAGUSD, for example, peaked in early 2021. It made lower highs steadily through the beginning of this year. But then it broke the bearish direction and started building support at the descending resistance line. A new falling trendline began in May, which now represents the top of the pattern.

A close above October’s highs around 23.70 could confirm a breakout from the wedge.

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XCUUSD Copper made its peak in March 2022, with successively lower highs throughout 2023. It’s also made lower lows, but at a slower pace than the lower highs. A weekly close above roughly 3.76 could trigger an upside reversal.

Finally, intermarket conditions likely remain key. Further weakness in the U.S. dollar and downside in Treasury yields could support breakouts in these metals.

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