Looking at the broader picture, the XAG/USD has been oscillating in a familiar range over the past three weeks or so, forming a rectangle on the daily chart. This, in turn, points to indecision among traders over the next leg of a directional move. That said, the recent repeated failures to find acceptance above a technically significant 200-day SMA and rejections near the $23.60-$23.70 supply zone favour bearish traders.
Moreover, technical indicators on the daily chart have again started gaining negative traction, suggesting that the path of least resistance for the XAG/USD is to the downside. That said, it will still be prudent to wait for some follow-through selling below the $22.50 support zone before positioning for additional losses. The XAG/USD might then accelerate the fall to the $22.00 mark before dropping to the $21.70 horizontal support zone.
The downward trajectory could get extended further and drag the XAG/USD to the next relevant support near the $21.35-$21.30 region en route to the $21.00 mark. Bearish traders might then aim to challenge a seven-month low, around the $20.70-$20.65 area touched in October.
On the flip side, the $23.00 mark now seems to cap the immediate upside ahead of the 200-day SMA, currently pegged near the $23.25 region. This is followed by the $23.60-$23.70 supply zone, which should act as a key pivotal point for short-term traders. A sustained breakout through will negate the negative outlook and shift the near-term bias in favour of bullish traders, paving the way for a move towards the $24.00 mark.
Some follow-through buying has the potential to lift the XAG/USD beyond the $24.20-$24.25 intermediate resistance and make a fresh attempt to conquer the $25.00 psychological mark.