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GOLD Price Rally Pauses as Retracement Looms

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In the early Asian session on Monday, the price of gold (XAU/USD) continued its upward rally, surpassing the $2,195 mark. However, as the day progresses, the price appears to be consolidating within a sideways range on lower timeframes, hinting at a potential retracement.

Several factors contribute to the current gold market dynamics. The prospect of the Federal Reserve (Fed) cutting interest rates this year provides support to the yellow metal. Additionally, ongoing geopolitical tensions bolster safe-haven demand. Nevertheless, as the price of gold continues to climb, the need for a pullback or retracement becomes more apparent to sustain further upward momentum.

Technical indicators add weight to the possibility of a retracement. Both the Relative Strength Index (RSI) in the H4 timeframe and the Daily timeframe signal overbought conditions. Furthermore, candlestick patterns in the H4 timeframe suggest a potential reversal, with a possible pullback anticipated to the $2,142.50 area or even deeper.

Recent economic data released by the Labor Department on Friday provided mixed signals. While the US economy added a robust 275,000 jobs in February, surpassing the estimated 200,000, the Unemployment Rate rose to 3.9% from 3.7% in January, marking the highest level in two years. This mixed report fuels speculation that the Fed may opt to cut interest rates by June.

Given these factors, market analysts are anticipating a retracement in the price of gold today as traders reassess their positions and market sentiment adjusts to the latest economic data.

As the day unfolds, all eyes will be on gold's price action and how it responds to key support and resistance levels. Traders should remain vigilant and adapt their strategies accordingly in response to evolving market conditions.