CityIndex

Potential short swing trade for gold

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FX_IDC:XAUUSD   黄金现货/美元
Gold prices have held up well the past couple of days despite a stronger USD and yields. Although its established bearish trend looked overstretched around recent lows, after bears failed to drive prices materially beneath the June low.

We see the potential for the retracement continue higher over the near-term, but we'll be looking out for evidence of a swing high around or below the 19117 - 1920 area (high volume node and round number).

And now spot gold prices have already tested 1900, another leg lower does not seem unreasonable. Besides, the front-month gold contract is yet to break that level, and it provided support in late June. And if futures are to head for 1900, it suggests support for spot gold around 1970.

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