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8.13比特币行情本文撰写时间15:56 以太坊再创高点，逼近历史新高，截至目前最高点位4682，比特币短期震荡，维持在12万附近震荡，昨日高点120270附近，目前大饼震荡走势，以太不断拉升； 昨日我们比特币布局点位是11900附近，目前小亏损状态，比特币日线上上方12万附近压力依旧有效，日线收的上影线并未被突破，就算昨日消息面是利多，比特币也没有给到我们止损位，空单继续持有，因为以太坊的上涨导致大饼没有能走出更深的下跌，昨日下跌低点是118050位置，大饼继续看目标116000-114200区间，自行把握进场机会； 日线图上看，以太坊这波从1384位置涨到4682是基本上没有给到大的回调机会，前面4100压力被破，以太坊也就将去试探历史高点，昨日我们做短线空布局，是大饼有做空信号，本以为以太会给个回调进场的机会，但无奈多头太强，强势拉升再度刷新短线高点，昨日以太做了空布局的朋友，小损一波，目前以太坊不适合做空，这次以太坊表现还是不错，前面大饼在上12万的时候以太坊走势很弱，现在也能视为补涨，历史高点4877位置这次我认为是守不住的，昨晚CPI数据公布，低于预期，通胀数据符合预期，9月降息的机会很大，这一消息面也促使以太坊走出反弹，以太开始拉高，后市将是山寨的天下，这段时间大家可以关注下山寨的动向，找机会做一些布局，以太坊交易方面，做多不做空，目前高位不要追，等待回调后做布局，回调点位大概4300附近，以太坊这波反弹预计会到达5350-5400附近，自行把握进场机会； 短线交易，控制风险，盈亏自理；
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Crude oil - Sell around 64.30, target 62.00-60.00Crude Oil Market Analysis: Crude oil is clearly weak. I believe we can sell immediately. There's no need to wait for a major rebound or significant resistance levels. We can sell directly from a small intraday level. Crude oil will continue to fall. The 4-hour chart shows it has already broken through, so there's still room for further decline. Today, we're focusing on selling at 64.30. Fundamental Analysis: Yesterday's CPI data was mixed, generally suppressing the US dollar and supporting gold. However, gold's reaction was minimal, and it remains in a period of volatile correction. Trading Recommendations: Crude oil - Sell around 64.30, target 62.00-60.00
NYMEX:CL1!做空
由FlyingGoldenPig提供
Gold - Sell near 3358, target 3340-3320Gold Market Analysis: Yesterday's daily doji formed a doji, signaling a short-term market swing. The broader selling trend in gold remains evident. This is the first correction after the sharp daily drop, and it's a normal technical correction. Trading can be done by scalping back and forth by a dozen or so pips. If you want to follow the trend, sell at a high price. Yesterday, we planned to sell at 3358, 3355, and 3348. Today, I'm sticking with the strategy of selling. We're focusing on a single point; if it doesn't break, we can continue selling. Yesterday, we analyzed 3380, a bottleneck in the market. If it breaks, it will essentially form a large V-shaped pattern, leaving us with time to adjust our strategy. Yesterday's low was 3330, so it's almost certain that selling will continue today. However, the volatile market is also likely to continue. Try to sell only after the market rebounds. During the Asian session, keep an eye on the first resistance level at 3358. Continue selling near this level. If it unexpectedly breaks above, 3367 is also a selling opportunity. The longer gold hovers within this range, the greater the potential for further declines. The probability of a direct reversal on the daily chart is low. The next level of support is around 3300, where we anticipate a major daily rebound. Support levels are 3330 and 3300, while resistance levels are 3358 and 3367. The dividing line between strength and weakness is 3350. Fundamental Analysis: Yesterday's CPI data was mixed, generally supporting gold while suppressing the US dollar. However, the price action was minimal, and gold is expected to maintain a period of volatile correction. Trading Recommendations: Gold - Sell near 3358, target 3340-3320
OANDA:XAUUSD做空
由FlyingGoldenPig提供
Gold prices are waiting for a major breakthrough!Market News: Spot gold prices fluctuated in early Asian trading on Wednesday (August 13), currently trading around $3,345/oz. Mild US inflation data for July has further intensified market bets on a September Federal Reserve rate cut, and a weakening US dollar has boosted the appeal of international gold. Combined with the positive news of an extended US-China tariff truce, the gold market is at a critical turning point! For London gold prices, expectations of a rate cut are a strong catalyst, as lower interest rates weaken the dollar's appeal and reduce the opportunity cost of holding gold. While gold could face short-term pressure if inflation unexpectedly spikes, the current data reinforces its position as a safe-haven asset, attracting buyers from other currencies, particularly as a weaker US dollar further reduces the cost of gold. While the market will focus in the short term on this week's PPI, unemployment benefits, and retail sales data, in the long term, the Federal Reserve's accommodative policy and geopolitical uncertainty will continue to support gold's upside potential. Technical Analysis: The US dollar index surged, then retreated back to 98.0. Gold dipped to 3330.9 in late trading before bottoming out and rebounding, closing with a small bullish candlestick pattern on the daily chart. The daily chart is currently trading at the middle Bollinger Band level, with the RSI indicator adjusting towards its neutral 50-value midpoint. The hourly Bollinger Bands are converging, the moving averages are converging, and the RSI is moving towards its midpoint. The four-hour chart saw heavy volume dip to the 30-level, testing the lower Bollinger Band before re-entering 3350. The 10-day and 7-day moving averages are converging. Gold trading strategies continue to favor short-term trading in a wide range. Based on the current gold market trend analysis, the prevailing pattern remains a broad, sweeping range between 3450 and 3250, a stalemate that has persisted for two to three months. This pattern of holding highs, breaking lows, and maintaining a sustained decline indicates that the previous bullish, volatile market has been disrupted. The new structure could face two potential scenarios: one is a transitional period of neither strong nor weak sweeping activity, building momentum through broad consolidation for subsequent direction; the other is a turning point above 3400, with the market gradually extending downward, leading to a volatile selling strategy. Given the non-unilateral nature of the structure, after such a significant decline, caution is warranted regarding the need for corrections in the Asian session. The intraday strength will depend on the strength and duration of the correction. If the rebound is weak and the market is effectively suppressed, the market may continue to fluctuate in a bearish, volatile market. Conversely, if key support is maintained and the market stabilizes, a return to a sweeping transition could occur. Trading strategy: Short-term gold: Buy at 3322-3325, stop loss at 3314, target at 3350-3370; Short-term gold: Sell at 3357-3360, stop loss at 3369, target at 3330-3310; Key points: First support level: 3332, second support level: 3318, third support level: 3303 First resistance level: 3355, second resistance level: 3368, third resistance level: 3380
OANDA:XAUUSD做空
由FlyingGoldenPig提供
USD/CAD(20250813)Today's AnalysisMarket News: The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July remained unchanged from the previous month at 2.7%; the core CPI for July rose to a five-month high of 3.1%. Following the release of these data, traders increased their bets on a September rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Levels: 1.3776 Support and Resistance Levels: 1.3828 1.3809 1.3796 1.3756 1.3744 1.3724 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 1.3776, consider entering a buy position, with the first target price being 1.3796. If the price breaks below 1.3756, consider entering a sell position, with the first target price being 1.3744.
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由FlyingGoldenPig提供
AUDUSD(20250813)Today's AnalysisMarket News: The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July remained unchanged from the previous month at 2.7%; the core CPI for July rose to a five-month high of 3.1%. Following the release of these data, traders increased their bets on a September rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Levels: 0.6516 Support and Resistance Levels: 0.6574 0.6552 0.6538 0.6493 0.6479 0.6457 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 0.6538, consider entering a buy position, with the first target price at 0.6552. If the price breaks below 0.6516, consider entering a sell position, with the first target price at 0.6493.
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GBPUSD(20250813)Today's AnalysisMarket News: The U.S. Consumer Price Index (CPI) for July remained unchanged from the previous month at 2.7%; the core CPI for July rose to a five-month high of 3.1%. Following the release of these data, traders increased their bets on a September rate cut by the Federal Reserve. Technical Analysis: Today's Buy/Sell Levels: 1.1656 Support and Resistance Levels: 1.1753 1.1717 1.1693 1.1618 1.1594 1.1558 Trading Strategy: If the price breaks above 1.1693, consider entering a buy position, with the first target price at 1.1717. If the price breaks below 1.1656, consider entering a sell position, with the first target price at 1.1618
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金汇得手：黄金昨日震荡下跌 今日主多辅空操作 美元指数昨天二次上探没新高回落，日线收阴，今日关注98-97.3区间。 黄金昨天早盘3359附近受阻回落，日内来回震荡洗盘，晚间触及3331关键支撑反弹，日线收十字星。今天倾向低多，日线支撑3340附近，触及可以做多。不过凌晨回落的低点在3345附近，如果行情走强会在3345上方运行。上方目标先看3354附近，一旦上破3359昨天高点大概率挡不住，还会去3368甚至3377附近，不破可以继续空。下方如果意外跌破3331，先看3320附近，强支撑3291附近。 操作建议：先跌接近3340多，走强的话3345先多，看破3359。接近3368或3377再空。昨天给出3363空，3342和3331多单。 原油二次上探没新高回落，日线收阴。早盘回落出新低，建议接近62.7不破先空，震荡的话63附近空。目标62.3破位看61.6附近，然后小止损博多。分析仅供参考，实盘为准，注意原油报价未统一。
FOREXCOM:XAUUSD
由jinhuideshou提供
8.13 比特币走势分析：比特币中长线看跌不变，5-5浪结束后看一笔较深幅度的回调整理，逢高布局空单（比特币合约交易）军长 8.13 比特币价格今日行情：现在比特币在12万一线，按理说五五浪有望突破123,300，它已经具备结束的可能性，即便没突破，也吃掉了80%以上的空间，所以选择在这里摸空，止损设在关键位置，打到说明五五浪还没走完，打不到那就算摸空成功。
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日圆多头小心：USD/JPY关键吞噬K线仍未失效尽管近期USD/JPY呈现横向盘整甚至略有反弹，但8月1日出现的「大阴吞噬」K线形态依然值得密切关注。这类形态若出现在关键位置，往往会在图表上留下深远影响，而非昙花一现。 就业数据点燃市场情绪 8月1日（周五）对宏观交易者而言是相当活跃的一天。当日公布的美国非农就业报告逊于预期，导致美元走软，USD/JPY应声大幅回落，并形成经典的「看跌吞噬」K线形态。当日价格从开盘一路下跌，不仅跌破前一日区间，更以下影线极短的阴线收盘，卖方主导气氛明显，吸引了不少技术面交易者的注意。 这个形态为何仍具参考价值？ 尽管当前价格尚未明确延续下行趋势，但吞噬K线的「规模」与「位置」依然构成技术层面的重要信号。该形态出现在多个阻力点交汇处，包括一连串的前高、200日简单移动平均线，以及自今年1月高点起锚的VWAP（成交量加权平均价格）。 对于如此强烈的K线型态，价格往往会有一段短期的技术反弹或修正，但这不一定代表趋势反转。吞噬K线的高点经常成为后市的重要关键位，而目前所看到的横向整理，更像是市场在「消化讯号」，而非出现明显的多头转向。短线交易者或许会将这段整理视为多空激战区，而长线参与者则会聚焦于卖方是否能够捍卫8月1日的高点压力位。 若从吞噬K线高点拉至近期盘整低点进行斐波那契回撤分析，目前价格正逼近50%回撤位。若在此位置出现明确卖压，空方可能重新掌握主导权；反之，若价格有效突破，则有机会进一步上探更高压力区。但在此之前，8月1日的看跌吞噬形态仍构成图表上不可忽视的关键，直到其高点被实质性突破之前，该形态仍将压制中期上行预期。 USD/JPY日K线图 过去表现不代表未来结果 放大观察：USD/JPY 日K线图 过去表现不代表未来结果 免责声明：本资料仅供信息和学习用途。提供的信息不构成投资建议，也未考虑任何投资者的个人财务状况或目标。任何涉及过去表现的信息均不可靠地指示未来结果或表现。社交媒体渠道对于英国居民不适用。差价合约和差价交易是复杂的金融工具，因杠杆效应而伴随着快速亏损的高风险。 82.67%的零售投资者在与本提供者交易差价合约和差价交易时亏损。 您应考虑您是否了解差价合约和差价交易的运作方式，并且是否能够承担高风险以避免资金损失。
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黄金因等待通胀数据而犹豫不决OANDA:XAUUSD 货币对在 8 月 11 日星期一承压，并在 8 月 12 日星期二上午小幅回升。美国总统特朗普确认不会对黄金进口征收关税，缓解了市场对全球供应链中断的担忧。投资者目前正等待本周公布的美国通胀数据，以评估美联储的利率前景。 关税疑虑终结 特朗普在推特上写道：“黄金不会征收关税！”，但没有提供更多细节。这一声明为全球黄金市场带来了一丝慰藉。 作为全球黄金运输和精炼中心，瑞士曾被认为是“最大的受害者”，但特朗普的最新声明实际上消除了这一风险。 投资者的注意力现在转向通胀。 随着关税不确定性的缓解，交易员将转向其他市场因素，其中最重要的是美联储的利率前景。 • 如果美国通胀数据高于预期，美联储可能会推迟 9 月份的降息，这将给金价带来压力。 • 相反，如果数据温和甚至疲软，这将支撑金价，因为市场对降息的预期增强。 市场前景 短期来看，关税担忧缓解后，金价进入回调阶段，价格走势可能进一步受到美元和通胀数据的影响。 如果通胀保持在低位，且美联储发出鸽派信号，金价将维持强劲支撑位。反之，如果通胀超预期且美元走强，金价可能面临进一步回调的风险。 中长期来看，在全球经济不确定性和低利率可能持续的背景下，黄金仍是避险资产和宝贵的资产配置渠道。 市场预计7月份核心CPI同比涨幅将达3.0%，高于6月份的2.9%。关税成本的征收可能引发商品通胀反弹。 • 如果数据好于预期，美联储可能会推迟降息。 • 相反，降息将增加9月份降息的可能性，目前期货合约的降息概率为87%。 技术前景分析 OANDA:XAUUSD 黄金价格走强，交投于 21 点移动平均线 (EMA) 附近，表明整体市场情绪依然犹豫，等待基本面突破。 短期内，黄金价格面临来自 21 点移动平均线 (EMA) 和 0.236% 斐波那契回撤位的技术压力。黄金价格要满足持续看涨前景的所有条件，必须突破该斐波那契回撤位，之后短期目标位为 3,400 美元。 如果黄金价格继续突破 3,400 美元并保持在此水平之上，则可能开启新的看涨周期，下一个目标位为 3,430-3,450 美元。 另一方面，黄金价格仍保持在 3,300 美元上方，避免出现熊市。这意味着，只要金价维持在 3,300 美元的初始价格和 0.382% 的斐波那契回撤位上方，短期内仍可能走强。 如果金价跌破 3,300 美元，则将进入熊市。短期目标价位为 3,246 美元，高于 0.50% 斐波那契回撤位。 动量方面，相对强弱指数 (RSI) 徘徊在 50 左右，表明市场情绪犹豫不决，但突破 50 则可能是看涨潜力的积极信号。 就今日而言，整体前景依然看涨，以下列出了需要注意的要点。 支撑位：3,340 美元 – 3,310 美元 – 3,300 美元 阻力位：3,371 美元 – 3,400 美元 卖出 XAUUSD：价格 3,377 - 3,375 ⚡️ ↠↠ 止损 3,381 →止盈 1 3,369 ↨ →止盈 2 3,363 买入 XAUUSD：价格 3,298 - 3,300 ⚡️ ↠↠ 止损 3,294 →止盈 1 3,306 ↨ →止盈 2 3,312
OANDA:XAUUSD
由Xayah_trading提供
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8.12比特币行情本文撰写时间13:07 近期由于私事繁忙断更一段时间，大家见谅！即日起将恢复持续更新！ 比特币前面下跌至111850位置后持续拉升至目前高点122450位置，未破前高123300；以太坊回调至3353位置后持续拉升至目前高点4370位置，再度突破前高，未破历史高点4877； 日线图上看，比特前面下跌至111850位置是并未跌到支撑位置的，前面一波下跌的支撑是107700,103500区间，没有到达这个区间就走出反弹，说明市场多头是强势的，行情也是表现的多头强势，但比特币上涨并未突破前面高点123300位置，这波反弹的压力位是120850，刺破但收针，这种走势我们能视为压力有效，日线收针并收出阴锤头线，这个信号就是下跌信号，交易上给到信号我们就可以做布局，这波回调不看很深，预计116000-114200区间就好，空单可现价直接119100附近做布局，止损带120800，目标看116000，114200，到达后根据收线情况再来做多布局，自行把握进场机会； 周线上看，以太坊强压4000这里这次被有效突破，前面几次上涨承压并给到不同程度的回调，目前大级别上看以太依旧是处于多头强势，4000这里压力也将变为支撑，日线上以太也是上方收2根阴十字，有回调信号，但行情不走出很大幅度回调，以太的回调需求不大，比特币走出回调以太坊大概也就试探下4000附近就将开始反弹，交易上以太坊回调做多为主，高空为辅，比特币有下跌信号，以太坊可同步比特币进出，现价4315附近可直接进，止损4400，目标4100-4000，到达目标后根据走势多单杀进去，自行把握进场机会； 短线交易，控制风险，盈亏自理；
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