simple pull back TJlv26

2023年11月23日

This is a very simple strategy for swing trade in stock indexes.

this strategy only trade long position, recommend to use this in day chart of sp500 or nas100.
SPX

NDX


Buy condition:
close price above long term SMA(default period 200),close price under short term SMA(default period 10), RSI is under 30(default period 3)

Sell condition:
1:if close price is above short period SMA and current close price is lower than low price of previous bar
2:hit the take profit target(default value 10%)
3:hit the stop loss target(default value 5%)

from author:
　As you can see, it's a very simple logic. You only start trading when the price is above long-term moving average, so you can avoid risk by taking positions only in the uptrend. You also use stop-loss, so even in situations where there is a significant downturn, you can minimize losses.
　However, it's important to note that this strategy performs well only in markets where long-term (approximately 10 years) upward movements are expected. It often yields disappointing results during prolonged bear markets. This is where each user's fundamental analysis comes into play, as there is no such thing as a perfect trading logic.
　Another noteworthy point is that, as seen in the results of back testing, this strategy tends to underperform buy-and-hold in most cases. As mentioned earlier, it's a strategy focused on risk mitigation and starting trades at the most advantageous prices, so I believe that using leverage of 2-4 times can maximize profits. However, trading with leverage is highly risky, so it should be assessed based on each individual's risk tolerance.