INVITE-ONLY SCRIPT
已更新 Probability Of Expiring Cone
This script attempts to give forecasts over the range of the closed price based on the exponentially weighted volatility.
Overall, with the assumption of normal distribution of log return, which might not always hold true, it calculates the approximate/ estimated probability that the current candles will close within the plotted shape. One, two, and three sigma will give the probability of around 68%, 95% and 99% respectively.
This can be used to give you a better sense of what is likely with the current level of volatility, thus assist in risk management and position sizing.
May you be on the right side of the trade.
Overall, with the assumption of normal distribution of log return, which might not always hold true, it calculates the approximate/ estimated probability that the current candles will close within the plotted shape. One, two, and three sigma will give the probability of around 68%, 95% and 99% respectively.
This can be used to give you a better sense of what is likely with the current level of volatility, thus assist in risk management and position sizing.
May you be on the right side of the trade.
版本注释
Migration to Pine V5版本注释
Important Updates:- Add the option to allow the cone to scale with drifts in returns, making it directionally biased
- Add the option to customize the exact numeric probability value
- Increase from 32 forecast series to 64.
- Replace with EWMA Volatility Model with an approximation of GARCH.
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仅限邀请脚本
只有作者授权的用户才能访问此脚本。您需要申请并获得使用许可。通常情况下，付款后即可获得许可。更多详情，请按照下方作者的说明操作，或直接联系QallianceTech。
TradingView不建议您付费购买或使用任何脚本，除非您完全信任其作者并了解其工作原理。您也可以在我们的社区脚本找到免费的开源替代方案。
作者的说明
Send me a direct message for life-time access request
免责声明
这些信息和出版物并非旨在提供，也不构成TradingView提供或认可的任何形式的财务、投资、交易或其他类型的建议或推荐。请阅读使用条款了解更多信息。