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AAL: Invisible Breakout

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NASDAQ:AAL   American Airlines Group, Inc.
AAL made quite the move during the nights of April 23rd and April 26th, and that move was a gap up above the downtrend, with an open at $21.46 and a close at $22.00. This invisible move is very bullish, as AAL was in a downtrend for about a month and now the gap up has broken the trend. We failed to break $22, and are now ranging between $21.64 - $21.06. However, before we get too excited for a continuation, I presume the gap will be filled ($21.21-$21.46), as we gapped through a pretty major price level, as previously mentioned. Statistically speaking, gaps have about a 91% chance of being filled according to bioequity.org. Once this level has been cleared, I anticipate a continuation of the breakout by breaking out of the established range and continuing to the upside, as bullish sentiment for AAL will continue to be fueled due to reopening optimism.

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