Look at this chart historically. In the falling of 2012-2013, and 2015-2016 you can see regularities. First of all, the price always back at the support line continuing from 2008 (green support line), secondly MA50 always goes down after previous peak at lest 1 year (look at this chart). I expect either long flat to $152 or strong move down to $145. Anyway, we will move down.