HAL9000
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AAPL: Technical Rebound in the Making?

NASDAQ:AAPL   Apple Inc
Flows and fundamentals weak
The stock lost $75bn yesterday on disappointing sales guidance
Fundamentals (growth slowdown) and market flows (-40% in 12w) remain questionable

Technicals compelling
The stock currently looks oversold on most time frames
It closed yesterday at $142.19, resting on strong resistance at $140:
- SMA 50 on the monthly chart (140.33)
- SMA 200 on the weekly chart (141.82)
- 62% Fib retracement from top of uptrend initiated in July 2016

Fast trade with tight stops
Started buying the dips yesterday betting on rebound
This trade requires caution as the consolidation may not be over
Technicals have not turned yet and a visible “Death Cross” is still at play

Strategy
Buy at $145
Stop-loss = 140
Target = 147 then 160
RR = 3 at the higher target


Nice analysis- but buying at 145 is a little premature imo- safer bet at >146
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HAL9000 OmarHalawi
@OmarHalawi, Thanks - Yes it would make sense to buy once we break the previous high on the daily chart. However, with a firm stop-loss at 140: 1/ if you end up being right, you will earn less and 2/ if you end up being wrong, you will lose more. Another alternative would be to start with half position here and to scale your trade. ;-)
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