ADA : Aiming a 100% profits opportunity in the Mid term.
Cardano (ADA) has been on the decline for more than a year now, ever since it reached its all-time high back in September of last year at $3.10. Throughout 2022, the price of ADA has declined by around 80%. More recently, the price of ADA reached as low as $0.33, which was the lowest in 20 months. Nonetheless, despite ADA being bearish and on the decline, ADA has been trending and trading volume has been relatively high, despite the current state of the market.
Following the recent trending nature of ADA, there has been a slight increase in the price in the last few days. ADA increased by 10%, but it is still not enough to suggest a potential reversal in the price of ADA.
Nonetheless, this study goes through the technical and fundamental factors of ADA that could have an impact on the price of ADA for the coming days/weeks.
Technical Analysis
As seen in the ADA/USDT 1-day chart, Cardano is trying to be in favor of bulls but not confirmed yet. Recent price movement suggests that ADA recently found resistance at the lower trendline, meaning that the recent correction was kind of expected. Nonetheless, the price remains bearish from the long term trading perspective and we could expect the price to keep declining in the coming days if the indications fail to fulfill the requirements for a bullish reverse move confirmation.
Indicators
The fear and greed index suggests that there is neutral in the current market, especially for ADA, whose price has been on the decline for more than a year now but showing a good move by the last 48 hours. Though extreme fear in overall crypto market often leads to reversals, that might not be the case in the short run for ADA.
The MACD line of a 1-day chart is currently above the signal line but quite below the baseline. Hence, even though the shorter run momentum is slightly on the bullish end, that could easily change by which our trade needs some strict risk management measures.
The RSI of a 1-day chart was recently below 30 and in the oversold region. This then saw ADA have a slight increase in price in the last few days. Though we could assume that since the RSI is now above 30, the price could keep declining.
The 20-day MA line is currently below the price of ADA, meaning that the trend at least becomes bullish for short term holding for Cardano. This MA line could act as resistance to the price of ADA if the latter attempts an increase. At the same time the scenario is forming on the 9-day MA too.
Fundamental Analysis
Perhaps one reason why Cardano (ADA) has been trending recently is that it was announced that Algorand is now in the Cardano ecosystem. Given the magnitude that Algorand has, it could have a huge impact on the development of Cardano as well. Though it’s essential to point out that as much as Algorand is in Cardano, Cardano is in Algorand, given that the two are interoperable. This comes as a result of the deployment of Milkomeda L2.
Charles Hoskinson, the founder of Cardano, was quick enough to make the announcement on Twitter.
Though Sebastian Guillemot, who is a contributor to both Cardano and Algorand, was also quick enough to correct Hoskinson on the correct way to phrase the announcement.
Community engagement has slightly increased for Cardano as well due to the yearly Cardano Summit that will be held in November. Additionally, Hoskinson recently stated on his Twitter account that something of major significance will be announced in November. No matter what that is, ADA bulls are eagerly waiting for this announcement that could potentially be a pretext for a reversal in the long-term trend. In other news, Cardano is also rumored to soon be listed on FTX. If that happens in the coming months, then it could do wonders to the price of ADA.
ADA Price Prediction
Based on this analysis of Cardano, it is unlikely for ADA to have a sudden surge in price unless we have some huge and powerful community based news prior to the technical analysis study. Currently, ADA may initially face resistance at $0.4148. Assuming the bullish momentum increases soon, then ADA could break this resistance and aim higher. However, as it stands, ADA is likely to keep testing the current resistance depicted by the falling wedge upper side trend line. In such a price surge, to be a healthy move the coin needs some correction and I am expecting a pullback after the current candlestick of the 1D chart closes and if there is going to be any impacting news coming towards the coin including the US stock indices and Bitcoin’s movement we might see a further pullback which is very unlikely at the time of writing this analysis. Though there is strong support at around $0.30, bears may likely continue to have control of ADA.
Takeaways
In the daily timeframe, the price of ADA continues to hold strong and trade above the key Support formed at $0.35 after the price rallied from its daily low, with the current market looking favorable for most crypto assets.
The price of ADA needs to break and hold above 50 EMA, acting as a strong resistance to the price of ADA. The price of $0.4 corresponds to the value of 50 EMA, acting as resistance for the price to break higher to a region of $0.5.
Daily resistance for the ADA price – $0.42.
Daily Support for the ADA price – $0.35.
• Cardano has been trending recently, despite being quite bearish. Now looking bullish for the short term entry but needs some more development to give a confirmation of a long term bullish trend.
• Technical indicators suggest that ADA is unlikely to be bullish any time soon.
• Recent teases by Charles Hoskinson have increased Cardano’s community engagement.
• If support at $0.31 fails, ADA could be heading further down.
Following the recent trending nature of ADA, there has been a slight increase in the price in the last few days. ADA increased by 10%, but it is still not enough to suggest a potential reversal in the price of ADA.
Nonetheless, this study goes through the technical and fundamental factors of ADA that could have an impact on the price of ADA for the coming days/weeks.
Technical Analysis
As seen in the ADA/USDT 1-day chart, Cardano is trying to be in favor of bulls but not confirmed yet. Recent price movement suggests that ADA recently found resistance at the lower trendline, meaning that the recent correction was kind of expected. Nonetheless, the price remains bearish from the long term trading perspective and we could expect the price to keep declining in the coming days if the indications fail to fulfill the requirements for a bullish reverse move confirmation.
Indicators
The fear and greed index suggests that there is neutral in the current market, especially for ADA, whose price has been on the decline for more than a year now but showing a good move by the last 48 hours. Though extreme fear in overall crypto market often leads to reversals, that might not be the case in the short run for ADA.
The MACD line of a 1-day chart is currently above the signal line but quite below the baseline. Hence, even though the shorter run momentum is slightly on the bullish end, that could easily change by which our trade needs some strict risk management measures.
The RSI of a 1-day chart was recently below 30 and in the oversold region. This then saw ADA have a slight increase in price in the last few days. Though we could assume that since the RSI is now above 30, the price could keep declining.
The 20-day MA line is currently below the price of ADA, meaning that the trend at least becomes bullish for short term holding for Cardano. This MA line could act as resistance to the price of ADA if the latter attempts an increase. At the same time the scenario is forming on the 9-day MA too.
Fundamental Analysis
Perhaps one reason why Cardano (ADA) has been trending recently is that it was announced that Algorand is now in the Cardano ecosystem. Given the magnitude that Algorand has, it could have a huge impact on the development of Cardano as well. Though it’s essential to point out that as much as Algorand is in Cardano, Cardano is in Algorand, given that the two are interoperable. This comes as a result of the deployment of Milkomeda L2.
Charles Hoskinson, the founder of Cardano, was quick enough to make the announcement on Twitter.
Though Sebastian Guillemot, who is a contributor to both Cardano and Algorand, was also quick enough to correct Hoskinson on the correct way to phrase the announcement.
Community engagement has slightly increased for Cardano as well due to the yearly Cardano Summit that will be held in November. Additionally, Hoskinson recently stated on his Twitter account that something of major significance will be announced in November. No matter what that is, ADA bulls are eagerly waiting for this announcement that could potentially be a pretext for a reversal in the long-term trend. In other news, Cardano is also rumored to soon be listed on FTX. If that happens in the coming months, then it could do wonders to the price of ADA.
ADA Price Prediction
Based on this analysis of Cardano, it is unlikely for ADA to have a sudden surge in price unless we have some huge and powerful community based news prior to the technical analysis study. Currently, ADA may initially face resistance at $0.4148. Assuming the bullish momentum increases soon, then ADA could break this resistance and aim higher. However, as it stands, ADA is likely to keep testing the current resistance depicted by the falling wedge upper side trend line. In such a price surge, to be a healthy move the coin needs some correction and I am expecting a pullback after the current candlestick of the 1D chart closes and if there is going to be any impacting news coming towards the coin including the US stock indices and Bitcoin’s movement we might see a further pullback which is very unlikely at the time of writing this analysis. Though there is strong support at around $0.30, bears may likely continue to have control of ADA.
Takeaways
In the daily timeframe, the price of ADA continues to hold strong and trade above the key Support formed at $0.35 after the price rallied from its daily low, with the current market looking favorable for most crypto assets.
The price of ADA needs to break and hold above 50 EMA, acting as a strong resistance to the price of ADA. The price of $0.4 corresponds to the value of 50 EMA, acting as resistance for the price to break higher to a region of $0.5.
Daily resistance for the ADA price – $0.42.
Daily Support for the ADA price – $0.35.
• Cardano has been trending recently, despite being quite bearish. Now looking bullish for the short term entry but needs some more development to give a confirmation of a long term bullish trend.
• Technical indicators suggest that ADA is unlikely to be bullish any time soon.
• Recent teases by Charles Hoskinson have increased Cardano’s community engagement.
• If support at $0.31 fails, ADA could be heading further down.
