A thorough analysis of Algorand's 4-hour chart reveals a significant transformation in market sentiment, marked by key structural changes at pivotal price levels. Here's an in-depth exploration of the price action structure theory about this chart:
Trend Transition: Initially, Algorand was on an upward trajectory, as evidenced by a series of ascending highs and lows. However, a critical level of around 0.4670 USD emerged as a decisive point, where the sentiment shifted from bullish to bearish. This level's repeated testing highlights its role as a crucial psychological and technical barrier.
Change of Character (CHoCH): The chart highlights a significant "Change of Character" moment, labeled as "CHoCH". This event signifies when the price forcefully broke below-established support levels, marking a clear transition of control from buyers to sellers.
Formation of a Downward Channel: After experiencing the CHoCH, Algorand's price action subsequently formed a descending channel, marked by two parallel trendlines. This structure represents a bearish phase, characterized by the consistent formation of lower highs and lows, reflecting ongoing selling pressure.
Retesting Key Levels: The price has recently retested the level around 0.4667 USD, which it had broken through previously. Now serving as resistance, this level reminds the market of its former role as support. The inability to surpass this point, followed by a decline, solidifies the current bearish sentiment within the channel.
Current Market Dynamics: Post-test, the price has resumed its downward path, sticking closely to the upper boundary of the channel. This behavior indicates that sellers are still dominant, potentially guiding the price towards or even beyond the channel's lower boundary, depending on broader market dynamics.
Key Level Insight: An essential level to watch is approximately 0.4703 USD, the 4-hour RSI high, acting as a significant resistance during recent price actions. Additionally, the 4-hour "closed" low at 0.3858 USD and the "low" at 0.35 USD, which was a 50% retracement from the local top, along with some support around 0.4230 USD.
Future Market Outlook: Traders should stay alert for signs of either a continuation of the current downtrend or a potential breakout. A break above the channel's upper boundary could signal a shift back to bullish conditions, while a move below the lower boundary might indicate a deepening of the bearish trend. Notably, the RSI has reset and confirmed a new low, suggesting watching for a break from the established lower high or low structure.