Looking for a nice bounce of the EMA to long Amazon.

2021年2月11日

1.6 Trillion dollar company here.

Amazon is a near and dear company to my heart. Not only do I use their services regularly I find they deliver an exceptional client experience and have been doing that consistently for a long time. I wish nothing but good things for Bezos and his new venture and hope he finds great success being more hands on with blue origins.

This company is a growth machine. They have brilliantly mastered the flywheel effect, you can read more about that from Jim Collins latest book, and I think they have a lot more room for growth despite the gigantic size they already are.

Fundamentals for the company are stunning:

• P/E 78.71 (For Amazon this is shockingly not too bad)
  
• Employees 1,298,000 - WOW
  
• P/FCF 63.21 (Yes very high)
  
• Debt/Eq 0.55 (Very low)
  
• Long Term Debt/Eq 0.53 (again very low, and its good to see them take advantage of low rates)
  

-Obviously in reading that, no one is buying Amazon as a value play. The opportunity here is in growth, and It think it is time to plan our entry as an aggressive growth play due to the following:

• EPS this Y +81%
  
• EPS past 5Y 101.8%!
  
• Sales Past 5Y +29.3%
  
• Sales Growth Q/Q +43%
  
• EPS Q/Q +117.5%
  
• ROE 27.1%
  

Equity Ownership

• Insiders Own 10.6%
  
• Insider Transactions over past 3 Months -1.9%
  
• Institutions Own 58.7%
  
• Institution Transactions -0.03%
  

2/10/21 ZenMode Price Target $4,000
2/3/21 UBS Price Target $4,150
2/3/21 Susquehanna Price Target $5,200
2/3/21 Stifel Price Target $4,000
2/3/21 J P Morgan Price Target $4,400
2/3/21 Goldman Price Target $4,500
2/3/21 Deutsche Bank Price Target $4,250
2/3/21 Barclays Price Target $3,860

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