🧭 Overview
Ticker: BABA
Current Price: $161.93
Trend: Overbought / Mixed
Confidence: 60%
Expiry: 2025-11-21 (7D)
Strike: $157.50
📊 AI & Technical Forecast
Katy AI Target: $159.42 (-1.55%) by week’s end
Extended Series: Downtrend toward $158.58 (-2.07%) by 11/20
RSI: 73.9 → overbought, high reversal potential
EMA / MACD: Diverging momentum, weakening bullish trend
VWAP: $161.40 → mean reversion pressure
Insights:
Price at 94.7% of weekly range → extreme overextension
News catalysts mixed: AI Mode rollout and ChatGPT competitor → initial bullish; hedge fund profit-taking → bearish
Options Flow: PCR 1.92 → institutional bearish positioning, smart money hedging
🎯 Trade Setup
Parameter Value
Direction PUT
Strike $157.50
Entry $1.91
Target 1 $2.87 (+50%)
Target 2 $3.82 (+100%)
Stop Loss $1.34 (–30%)
Position Size 3% of portfolio
⚡ Key Advantages
Contrarian setup: overbought RSI + institutional put-heavy flow
Friday expiration → gamma effects amplify put premium expansion
Tight 30% stop loss limits downside
Delta –0.301 balances probability and payout
Timing Edge:
Weekly expiration compresses timeframe; downside moves accelerate profit potential
Price near top of weekly range → asymmetric risk/reward
🚨 Risk Notes
Low AI confidence (50%) → speculative
Friday expiration → active monitoring required
Break above $164.36 → exit immediately
Positive AI/tech news could override technical forecast
Ticker: BABA
Current Price: $161.93
Trend: Overbought / Mixed
Confidence: 60%
Expiry: 2025-11-21 (7D)
Strike: $157.50
📊 AI & Technical Forecast
Katy AI Target: $159.42 (-1.55%) by week’s end
Extended Series: Downtrend toward $158.58 (-2.07%) by 11/20
RSI: 73.9 → overbought, high reversal potential
EMA / MACD: Diverging momentum, weakening bullish trend
VWAP: $161.40 → mean reversion pressure
Insights:
Price at 94.7% of weekly range → extreme overextension
News catalysts mixed: AI Mode rollout and ChatGPT competitor → initial bullish; hedge fund profit-taking → bearish
Options Flow: PCR 1.92 → institutional bearish positioning, smart money hedging
🎯 Trade Setup
Parameter Value
Direction PUT
Strike $157.50
Entry $1.91
Target 1 $2.87 (+50%)
Target 2 $3.82 (+100%)
Stop Loss $1.34 (–30%)
Position Size 3% of portfolio
⚡ Key Advantages
Contrarian setup: overbought RSI + institutional put-heavy flow
Friday expiration → gamma effects amplify put premium expansion
Tight 30% stop loss limits downside
Delta –0.301 balances probability and payout
Timing Edge:
Weekly expiration compresses timeframe; downside moves accelerate profit potential
Price near top of weekly range → asymmetric risk/reward
🚨 Risk Notes
Low AI confidence (50%) → speculative
Friday expiration → active monitoring required
Break above $164.36 → exit immediately
Positive AI/tech news could override technical forecast
Free Signals Based on Latest AI models💰: QuantSignals.xyz
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The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.
Free Signals Based on Latest AI models💰: QuantSignals.xyz
免责声明
The information and publications are not meant to be, and do not constitute, financial, investment, trading, or other types of advice or recommendations supplied or endorsed by TradingView. Read more in the Terms of Use.