viswaram

13 Sep ’23 Post Mortem on BankNifty - weekly expiry special

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NSE:BANKNIFTY   Nifty Bank Index
BankNifty Weekly Analysis

Between the last expiry and today BankNifty has gone up an impressive 3.2% ~ 1422pts. Quite a remarkable feat and the major reason why we had a breakout rally. The weekly chart looks pretty loaded up for further gains.

BankNifty Today’s Analysis

Yesterday I remember saying the “rally is still not dead in banknifty” although my view was only moderately bullish. But what we witnessed today was strong bullishness proving me wrong. Today’s intraday swing saw a move of 692pts ~ 1.53% and outperforming the NiftyIT index by a huge margin.

Since we had the weekly expiry today, the options premium started on the lower side. Even though the upward possibility was there, it did not show itself till 11.00. Right after that the option prices started to jump pricing in the mega move that followed. The advantage of using the options flow to guess direction is that it helps you guess the direction with a higher probability. If you club that with the chart patterns - the combination becomes unbeatable.

On the 1hr chart the next resistance should be around the 46302 levels whereas the next support will be 45615. I wish to stay moderately bullish ie. 50% bullish & 50% neutral until the resistance is not taken out. In case we have a beach in support - I wish to go short.

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