I've made this new one because the other one was already filled with a lot (some unnecessary) updates. This new idea has the same concept of the older one but I'll keep it "cleaner"
Since the all time high at 2017/12/17 which finished the wave 5 of BTCUSD a (huge) corrective wave was expected.
We can see that during Wave A we got a pump before it dropped again, wave B was all normal, and wave C is doing the same as A it dropped to 9.2k (closed on 11.1k) then went up and now its doing the last drop which is expected to go to the 0.786 Fib level around 8.5k
After comes a new 12345 which means BTC is almost ready to set new ATH's, but to prove the point that BTCUSD is very we can see BTC is inside a HUGE Flag:
And it is also inside a Bat:
(I know that the Bat numbers aren't correct but I just want to do a quick sketch of what I think is happening)
I think that in a few days when February starts BTC will get ready for new all time highs.
In my opinion the buy zone would be near this rectangle:
I'll stop updating the older idea (you can still click it on the Related Ideas link if you want to see my older analysis) and keep this one simple but with the important details
Have a nice day and Trade Safe!
Ichimoku results are better longer the TF, so 1D is good to take assumptions and conclusions.
We can see that yesterday's and today's Candle tried to break in the cloud, but it failed, thus making that a double top, this means we already have 2 BIG bearish signs (to complete wave C)
On top of that, price is bellow cloud, and tenkan is bellow kijun, these two factors mean trend is bearish.
We can also see that the last 2 candles are a Bearish Engulfing Pattern (if it closes like this or lower)
For now we are bearish to the 8.5k levels.
8.0k to 8.5k Target (again)
Bearish flag also says around 8.0k
Price as of now is at 10.5k
We may see this Bull Trap head to the 14k levels if the Blue trend line is broken! (Around the 11.7k)
On the 26th we'll see some action because of Futures BTC.
Being rejected for 2/3 days in a row.
Also MA50 < MA100
Great Idea, we should see another bulltrap to the 14k/15k (I've already said that on the 23rd just scroll up a bit)
Since ATH we saw a big dump, after that a small impulse wave, followed by a retracement and then we saw a big impulse, after that we saw a big dump, followed by a small impulse which was followed by another retracement, price was already rejected by the blue line a lot of times which means it it break (upwards) we may see price touch the bottom of the cloud and if it breaks we might see the top being touched (marked in the white lines with breaks)
Blue: Main downtrend
Pink: Symmetrical triangle (also new downtrend)
Blue circles: Previous touches on the trend line
We are inside a symmetrical triangle, price was already denied like 5 times lets see which way we break, if we break upwards target is that circle around 13.9k
A break downwards could mean a drop to the 10k nor 9.2k and if support doesn't hold, 8k.
We broke upwards, lets see, target is around that circle.
Red: Main downtrend
Green: Previous symmetrical triangle (when it broke upwards we saw price increase)
Blue: New symmetrical triangle (didn't break trough yet, we must wait!)
Green triangle shares some resistance with the blue as we can see on previous breakout denies.
Price should test the support (base of the triangle in green)
Kijun (red line) is crossing (upwards) Tenkan (blue line) in Ichimoku this is a sign of bearish trend! Ichimoku analysis are better on a higher timeframe and 3D is a powerful one!
Lets see if it crosses or if it is just a bounce...
Here is my TA on the FLAG
I personally think C was reached even without the hit of 8K as 9 was strong enought and loaded at 10K bounce
And there is the A-B-C correction repost
(If you make line from last bottom point threw the C and way up .. you will se how nicely we bounced)
One more time sorry @angel_lobs
Wish you nice rest of a day man !