IttyBitty

Bullish Falling Wedge

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BITFINEX:BTCUSD   比特币
Hello,

Not advice, not an expert, but I've done well and continued to make money in the bear market. Mostly, I guess, I like making charts almost as much as I like making money.

So what I see here are some fib levels set from the drop out of the False Hope Phase, all playing within a very strict falling wedge. Of course, a falling wedge is usually a reversal pattern to the upside, so obviously this isn't too bad. Bitcoin will not become "worthless".

The fib levels seem to be a pretty accurate indicator in this situation, first acting as support then as resistance on two occasions. I think it may go up from this .618 line to the top of the falling wedge again before it drops. However, I won't be buying here because as I drew in, the risk/reward ratio is highly unfavourable.

So again, I think it's a short situation down to .5 fib at the very least, and more likely the next level down before we see a bullish rally for a measured move from the wedge. Should this all pan out, I think that bull rally will double top just like it did in the False Hope phase, and we'll have a bit more consolidation before BTC begins to make solid moves upward again. But we'll see when we get there.

Happy trading.
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