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Black Swans? Bitcoin and Key Levels Ahead

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Hello, dear friends!🩷

I hope You all had an amazing holiday season and wrote down Your wish lists for the year ahead. For me, my biggest wish is peace in my country and the chance to sleep peacefully at night. I pray that a larger-scale war never breaks out, as the world feels like it’s hanging by a thread.

But let’s set that aside for now and take a look at Bitcoin’s 6-hour chart, which is showing a very intriguing setup.

The price is once again aiming to test the 92k level—a key support zone I’ve highlighted in previous posts. Most likely, the price will bounce off this level and recover slightly to the 97–98k range before continuing its decline. In the medium term, there’s a chance we could see Bitcoin drop to 90k, 87k, or even as low as 84k.

If no “Black Swan” events (as many global media outlets have been speculating about) occur, we might see growth instead. However, it’s too early to say for sure—we’ll have to keep monitoring the situation. Have You heard about some of these potential Black Swans?

Geopolitical Conflicts

Escalation of current conflicts or the emergence of new ones (e.g., in Asia or the Middle East).
Rising tensions between major powers like the U.S. and China.
Sudden regime changes in strategically important countries.

Economic Crises

Collapse of major banks or financial institutions.
Sharp interest rate hikes or defaults by heavily indebted nations.
A new wave of inflation or a global recession.

Technological Disruptions

Breakthroughs in AI destabilizing labor markets or sparking social unrest.
Major cyberattacks on infrastructure, financial systems, or governments.
Challenges in adopting new technologies in energy or transportation.

Environmental Disasters

Accelerating climate change causing devastating weather events.
Large-scale ecological accidents, like oil spills or nuclear incidents.
Global issues with access to fresh water or food supplies.

Pandemics or Biological Threats

The emergence of new viruses or mutations of existing ones spreading rapidly.
Biological attacks or lab leaks.

Social and Political Upheaval

Mass protests or revolutions in key regions.
The rise of populism and anti-globalist sentiment.
Migration crises caused by wars or climate change.

Unexpected Events in the Crypto Market

Regulatory bans or sudden changes in crypto legislation.
Collapse of major exchanges or projects.
Rapid adoption of Central Bank Digital Currencies (CBDCs) and their impact on the crypto market.

If You ask for my opinion, Black Swans aren’t something you can talk about or predict—that’s why they’re called Black Swans! They happen precisely because they’re impossible to foresee. They strike when no one is expecting them!

What do you think? Are You bracing for a market crash, or are you feeling optimistic?

Stay tuned for updates, and let me know your thoughts in the comments. Let’s navigate this market together!💪

Sincerely Yours,
Kateryna 💛
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