without_worries

Bitcoin going to $22k ??

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without_worries 已更新   
GEMINI:BTCUSD   比特币
Why so bearish? A few reasons - on the above 4-day chart following the overbought conditions (green columns) there is:

1) Regular Bearish divergence between price action and ALL oscillators. 1 of 3 can be ignored. 3 of 3 is alarm bells. This is a powerful signal a strong reversal is imminent.

2) RSI support breakout. Highlighted in ‘blue’ you can see two things:

a) RSI support was broken.

b) RSI came back up to test support and was rejected.

3) On the 2-week chart below, the last candle printed is considerably bearish. Not quite a gravestone DOJI (candle body too thick), but nonetheless, huge amounts of selling pressure.

Why $22k? Look left. Previous corrections from RSI @ 90+ resulted in price action finding support on the 0.618 golden ratio. Historically Bitcoin has a lot of respect for this Fibonacci ratio. Right now the 0.618 is at $21,700k.

2-week chart:

评论:
Lots of PM's asking me if this trade is now void ;) For the moment, no.

The sense of euphoria of price action is reminiscent of late 2017. This is no time to by buying, that was way back at $3.5k last year.

What I will say is I don't know where the top is. No one does. Every day price action continues to move up so does the support zone.

Hypothetically speaking if price action continues to $65-70k, then the support area would move to around $24k.

评论:
The bulls are certainly tenacious with every dip bought up quickly.

The top chart still holds true for the time being with market support now between $23.5k - $24k. Every day it climbs a little higher the longer the correction takes.

评论:
A month later with price action more or less the same has resulted in the floor for price action raising to around $30k

What is interesting is the RSI. It is forming a falling wedge pattern (green triangle) with a projected breakout around early May. This is a bullish pattern, but cannot be traded until confirmed.

交易结束:到达目标:
The supporting moving averages now have moved up to meet current price action.
交易结束:到达目标:
The bottom is in. Fill yer boots.

BTC
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Allow 3-6 months on ideas. Not investment advice. DYOR
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