No new major changes to my ideas, just fixed up some labelling and protectory.
Fundamentals are great yet price has remained more or less in the same range. This isn't an accident. When everyone can see 80k-100k BTC, the question becomes, why aren't we there yet? Do we really expect institution to pump so we can dump to them? That's not how it works. Infact, it's almost always the opposite.
As usual, probably change my mind tomorrow, but for now, I'm short.
Fundamentals are great yet price has remained more or less in the same range. This isn't an accident. When everyone can see 80k-100k BTC, the question becomes, why aren't we there yet? Do we really expect institution to pump so we can dump to them? That's not how it works. Infact, it's almost always the opposite.
As usual, probably change my mind tomorrow, but for now, I'm short.
评论:
Now I know everyone will be going on about black swan events, but the truth is, if there was enough strong hands, it wouldn't do much.
Imagine you held 99% of the supply and there was a black swan, what would the price do? That's just to illustrate the point bad news don't do much in a true bull market, and good news don't do much in a bear market.
Imagine you held 99% of the supply and there was a black swan, what would the price do? That's just to illustrate the point bad news don't do much in a true bull market, and good news don't do much in a bear market.
交易结束：到达目标:
Short from 70k closed at 60k (limit orders are highly recommended btw). While the original plan is 52-53k, I think it's worth waiting and see here. New chart to come.
The alternative would be something like this playing out:
Still short from 70k.