比特币已更新 BTC scenario for next week! a must see!
hi guys! nice weekend! we have seen a very good run in btc. alts jumping up, from their bottoms. nice, nice. so my pick won! i posted that BTC might breakout yesterday when btc was 63.2 or something! it broke out just like few hours i wrote that! how lucky.
however, this bull flag seems more like a bearish flag, an ascending triangle that usually breaks below. we would just want btc to go 67, 68, 7, 8k...but, i don't think that will easily happen.
i think, below is a scenario, that BTC would make a move next week.
so, we could make another lower high at 6580~6630 in coming day or hours, break down hard to initial support or even bottom, and try to make a run there. of course, when this just goes up 6640+ from now, this idea is invalidated, but BTC tends to visit its initial support, or close to it when it cannot make a HH. so, now i think considering low volume weekend, it should make a little peak and break down from the wedge, and from some point, it starts to make a flag, or a triangle or something to go high.
however, i do think btc would come back, try for 67, 68, because 67~68 neckline is a traditional, classic resistance that BTC has always challenged before deciding to go down! i still think this
market is so bearish, and just hitting 5850, former bottom, would never make any more dramatic movement. guys, WE NEED TO HIT A NEW NEW BOTTOM! Yes, 5.5k is still on the cards, not now of course,
but just in 2~3weeks, i still believe it will come! i believe from that point it can go to 7.2k, or 7.7k at max. the dates in chart are just for fun, not so likely, just my guess.
some TA's talk about these inverse H&S, ....it will go 8k, 10k....if patterns always work, they all be rich! but they are not!! please do not believe in patterns, only seeing more in buying/selling pressures in reality will win you money! these patterns always make people lose money in downtrends! when, a FUD may appear at anytime!
why would they be writing on trading view, make people pay them monthly for 'VIP', if they are so good??? no no no. traders should earn money from TRADING itself, and sharing ideas is just for more development and good nature of this eco system, not to fish bait people into their inner circle. i still do not understand this 'VIP' system, make people pay(many tell people to buy alt coins at major downtrends....gosh). many say they need to invest in good altcoins like stratasys, qtum...dumb. look at their price now...i would hide in a cave for 10 years for that. guys, BTC is still the safest answer!
this is my though, idea, it always changes everyday, considering the condition of the market so try to be careful!
based on my thoughts, i nailed my trading plans 8 out of 10!
anyway, i bragged too much, sorry. little emotional! oops...
so! today, and weekend my trade plan is.
go long 6480~6500(this is already happening i got in 6480)
sell:6550~6600
open short 6570~6630/if 6640 is over reached open 6740, 6840 with large portion!
sell;6.42/6.35/6.28/and below if lucky
->this trade might take time, like 1~2days
good trading!
however, this bull flag seems more like a bearish flag, an ascending triangle that usually breaks below. we would just want btc to go 67, 68, 7, 8k...but, i don't think that will easily happen.
i think, below is a scenario, that BTC would make a move next week.
so, we could make another lower high at 6580~6630 in coming day or hours, break down hard to initial support or even bottom, and try to make a run there. of course, when this just goes up 6640+ from now, this idea is invalidated, but BTC tends to visit its initial support, or close to it when it cannot make a HH. so, now i think considering low volume weekend, it should make a little peak and break down from the wedge, and from some point, it starts to make a flag, or a triangle or something to go high.
however, i do think btc would come back, try for 67, 68, because 67~68 neckline is a traditional, classic resistance that BTC has always challenged before deciding to go down! i still think this
market is so bearish, and just hitting 5850, former bottom, would never make any more dramatic movement. guys, WE NEED TO HIT A NEW NEW BOTTOM! Yes, 5.5k is still on the cards, not now of course,
but just in 2~3weeks, i still believe it will come! i believe from that point it can go to 7.2k, or 7.7k at max. the dates in chart are just for fun, not so likely, just my guess.
some TA's talk about these inverse H&S, ....it will go 8k, 10k....if patterns always work, they all be rich! but they are not!! please do not believe in patterns, only seeing more in buying/selling pressures in reality will win you money! these patterns always make people lose money in downtrends! when, a FUD may appear at anytime!
why would they be writing on trading view, make people pay them monthly for 'VIP', if they are so good??? no no no. traders should earn money from TRADING itself, and sharing ideas is just for more development and good nature of this eco system, not to fish bait people into their inner circle. i still do not understand this 'VIP' system, make people pay(many tell people to buy alt coins at major downtrends....gosh). many say they need to invest in good altcoins like stratasys, qtum...dumb. look at their price now...i would hide in a cave for 10 years for that. guys, BTC is still the safest answer!
this is my though, idea, it always changes everyday, considering the condition of the market so try to be careful!
based on my thoughts, i nailed my trading plans 8 out of 10!
anyway, i bragged too much, sorry. little emotional! oops...
so! today, and weekend my trade plan is.
go long 6480~6500(this is already happening i got in 6480)
sell:6550~6600
open short 6570~6630/if 6640 is over reached open 6740, 6840 with large portion!
sell;6.42/6.35/6.28/and below if lucky
->this trade might take time, like 1~2days
good trading!
注释
guys, btc is weak, please sell your longs, small profit now, now it came up to 65 level. i think because the weekly candle is positive, this price can maintain for a day or two, but it might slide under so be careful. maybe not even a double top, but just go sideways under at 64 level. again, opening long positions can be only attractive like yesterday, do not open long positions above 65 level, dangerous.注释
注释
So! Open shory positions as high as you can get at 65~66 level. For next 2~3days somepoint a low will come..maybe sunday or mon.注释
oh! and when i say open short and long positions, it is all about trading margin in Bitmex. many people, who only trade when btc goes up knows what long is, but are confused because of shorting. using bitmex, we earn money even though btc drops, because we bet on btc drops! many say its dangerous, but i think it is even better then regular exchanges, buying alts and praying that the market would go up someday. people who are in trouble are those who are greedy, using 50~100* leverage, without any strategy.注释
Take some profit at 63 level. Like 30~40%.交易结束：到达目标
ok! so it seems that it will defense the 63 level. i closed my shorts from 66 to 63, i don't like to be greedy, always stick to my plan. it seems that my plan has already accomplished today. it may go lower, but i think it will defend 63 and upper 62 levels of now, and close at 6400ish in coming hours. it can just drop lower, but i call it a day!注释
guys, i think you can buy some long positions btc from now. early 63 level, and maybe 62 level. i think bt will maintain this pennant structure for few more days, spark up. stoploss is 6150. try to buy some, it won't make a run today, maybe mon, or tue after consolidation.注释
Guys please take profit at 65 levels.at least 40%
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