COINBASE:BTCUSD   比特币
Well-well...

We see downside AB-CD action that we've planned last week, but it has not started. Market right now is very difficult to analyse, because it is rather thin, trading volumes have dropped dramatically. And any single transaction could trigger big moves. Besides, recent drop is difficult to explain from external factors - US yields are dropping, everything is raising, except BTC...

While it was going higher like a crazy on some phantom expectations of ETF, despite environment was bearish. It behaves neither like safe haven nor like normal risky asset. It seems that fluctuations are becoming random and triggered occasionally just based on some news release.

Technically, now the downside AB-CD finally has started. Since we have acceleration on CD leg, I would wait for 26K area before even thinking about long entry. Besides, 26K lows is invalidation point of short-term bullish context. If BTC breaks it down, we will go under 25K.


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