DrDovetail

Head & Shoulder, Ascending broading wedge, and 4hr golden cross.

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DrDovetail 已更新   
BITFINEX:BTCUSD   比特币
On the 4 hour chart here you can see the head and shoulders so far has avoided being triggered after the 4hr candle price action rose back up above the head and shoulder neckline before 3 closes..However on the current 4hr candle, it is now dipping back below the neckline so odds are good it will eventually still break down from the current broadening ascending wedge wedge which when it comes to ascending broadening wedges 76% break out in the same direction as that leading to the pattern which in our case is downward...so currently probability favors more downside but as you can also see we just now on this candle have an official 4hr golden corss of the 50MA moving above the 200MA...such a cross is more effective when it happens on the 1 day chart but it also typically allows for some more bull momentum when it happen ons the 4 hr chart as well just not quite as effectively. Because of this golden cross I think it's very likely that zone could act as strong asupport when the price action breaks down to it and could provide enough of a bounce/rebound back upward that we get back above the head and shoulders neckline before having a chance to trigger it for more downside...becoming instead a bear trap. We could also still dip below that and instead find support at either the ascending grey trendline, or ultimately the pink eve curved trendline....we could dip to those and also rebound back up before triggering the head and shoulders....however if the head and shouldersdoes trigger its projected fall could easily break nudner the pink eve trendline....then again since that trendline is somewhat of a projected line it can be adjusted a bit...possibly even enough to account for the projected fall of a head and shoulder trendline...however I'm fairly confident based on all the previous candle body touches that have verified that trendline up until now that its trajectory is pretty close if not spot on. For now I am going short expecting a fall at least to the 50ma, but also being prepared to pull right back out if it goes down further to get in at the pink eve trendline. You choose your own path of course because this is not meant to be financial advise. Thanks for reading and best of luck! I'm only short here for the short term...and think there's still a chance to avoid this head and shoulders.
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forgot to update price zones here is the update on those new price adjustments:
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