It seams BTCUSD is trying to break above the 50 period EMA on the 4H graphic, but it is still to meet the strong resistance of the 100 period EMA , which it hasn't been able to cross since 01-09-2018. Meanwhile priceaction has been closed between 0.382(8055.63) and 0.618(9400) retracements from the last peak price to the last bottom (11 525 - 5910), meeting heavy resistane around the 0.263 (9200) retracement from the all time high.
A break above the 100 period EMA will lead to a test of the strong resistance retracements (9200 - 9400) which have shown to be holding tight since 03-02-2018. Failure to break the above resistance will send the price back to the support around 8000. MACD is at near zero levels giving mixed signals.
A break above 9400 or below 8000 will signal a clear breakout off the sideway moves. Otherwise I would expect the price action to continue in the channe.
评论: The price action continued sideways, under the 100 EMA and a trendline formed earlier through the week. Given the increased volume and the lower peaks forming, the probability of a breakout upwards seems vein.
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