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BTCUSD - RSI - MACD - Takashi analysis - fibonacci retrace

BITFINEX:BTCUSD   比特币
Marketupdate:


- Bitcoin was rejected between 61,8 and 65 fib retracement previously at 10 000 and 8300 dollar and during the last wave up slightly below. Setting the target around the 6800 - 7000 mark. In case it breaks this resistance I don’t expect it to break the strong downward trendline established since Mars.

- Takashi divergence signal (takashiclub.com) is not generating a buy signal on the daily. This indicates a current rather weak momentum, volume is decreasing slowly too. This view is supported by the RSI; not overbought nor oversold. Although RSI has room to go up.

- The circled areas are consolidation-zones before a wave up. As you notice these zones become shorter and the shorter ones resulted in lower highs.

- MACD is about to make a change in trend and has room to go up.

- Also keep in mind the XBT closure on 19 September and the ETF decision by the end of the month.

In conclusion I see room for a temporary increase followed by dive into the 5k area. In case 5800 isn’t holding, I see 5400 - 5200 as the next major support zone and turning the so strong 6000 - 6200 support zone in a (huge) resistance.
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