Hello my good friends. Hope everyone is doing well in this midweek trading session. From my last post, Bitcoin was holding my previous support line pretty nicely, even when Binance went down for a 6 hour system upgrade. Yesterday however, Bitcoin fell back down under my yellow support line showing signs that it has failed. Effectively, I readjusted the line to match the two new double bottom dips that have formed from the past week. This new yellow support line is holding and is now showing a strong bull presence with the RSI recovering from its earlier 30% mark. This recovery is also pushing the price up towards the two exponential moving averages. Taking a look at them, we can see that the 50 EMA and 100 EMA had another death cross last week when the price dropped 10%. This death cross being a strong downward indicator, leads me to believe that BTC has a one last shot to recover a bit before following its downward channel ultimatum. As for the CME gaps, the two that are active from prior week and month, are the $11.9k Gap and the $8.6k gap. With the downward channel becoming more prominent, the target of BTC hitting $8.6k is stronger than it breaking the confirmed red selling pressure line and going up to $11.9k.
With that said, we have two nice opportunities coming up including one presently here. For a monthly trader, the present opportunity is to short BTC as it looks like the downward channel is confirmed and that BTC should eventually hit CMEs $8.6k price gap and cover it before any recovery upward. However, this is Bitcoin and it can easily get pumped back up to $11.4k towards the top of the downward channel line bringing about the second trade entry point. Here, you can wait for BTC to rise up to the top of the downward channel line from the current moment, and safely enter a $11.4k short position with a stop loss at $12k in case the $11.9k gap does get covered prior to BTC price reversing. Keep in mind that both of these positions are highly volatile due to the nature of Bitcoin, and always trust your ideas and decisions before investing. I am personally waiting for the second outcome to happen before making a trade to short BTC. With this 4H time frame analysis, the support lines are pushing this consensus down to September 1st and I am willing to wait till then for that entry. If that entry comes sooner I will keep you guys updated.
This analysis has been updated from my previous three posts, and I always appreciate your guy's support and comments to improve my TA. I also peeped that most of the Alt coins from the recent drop have bin holding when compared to BTC and am wondering if ALT Coin season is coming sooner than later. So I pass the question to you my beautiful trader friends. What do you guys think will happen by September 1st with the Crypto markets?
As always,
Onward and Upwards,
Vick
With that said, we have two nice opportunities coming up including one presently here. For a monthly trader, the present opportunity is to short BTC as it looks like the downward channel is confirmed and that BTC should eventually hit CMEs $8.6k price gap and cover it before any recovery upward. However, this is Bitcoin and it can easily get pumped back up to $11.4k towards the top of the downward channel line bringing about the second trade entry point. Here, you can wait for BTC to rise up to the top of the downward channel line from the current moment, and safely enter a $11.4k short position with a stop loss at $12k in case the $11.9k gap does get covered prior to BTC price reversing. Keep in mind that both of these positions are highly volatile due to the nature of Bitcoin, and always trust your ideas and decisions before investing. I am personally waiting for the second outcome to happen before making a trade to short BTC. With this 4H time frame analysis, the support lines are pushing this consensus down to September 1st and I am willing to wait till then for that entry. If that entry comes sooner I will keep you guys updated.
This analysis has been updated from my previous three posts, and I always appreciate your guy's support and comments to improve my TA. I also peeped that most of the Alt coins from the recent drop have bin holding when compared to BTC and am wondering if ALT Coin season is coming sooner than later. So I pass the question to you my beautiful trader friends. What do you guys think will happen by September 1st with the Crypto markets?
As always,
Onward and Upwards,
Vick
