BITCOIN 55k Bullish fractal on 1M ahead of a MACD Bullish Cross!

Bitcoin (BTCUSD) is about to close the monthly candle of May and most likely it will be the first red since December. We haven't seen a four month bullish streak since January 2021. Despite the end of this succession, this is far from a discouraging long-term signal as the past two Cycles show that every time the 1M time-frame prints this pattern where a red 1M candle pauses a bullish streak, tests the Symmetrical Support (previous Resistance turned into Support) and holds, it then initiates a very strong rally.

Two times out of three this rise was the parabolic rally at the end of each Cycle (+560% in 2021 and +2100% in 2017). The first time it was the initial rally after the Bear Cycle bottom and it rose by +125%. On all occasions, the Symmetrical Support held, i.e. no candle ever closed below it. A +125% rise from this month's low gives an approximate target slightly above $55000. With the 1M LMACD about to make a Bullish Cross, the first since July 2020, this fractal seems to be gathering all the firepower it needs to start the next phase of the Bull Cycle.

Note that after the red monthly candle, during the previous fractals, the rally peaked in 5, 7 and 9 months. The earliest (5 months) times the $55k top in October.

So what do think? Is this the final red monthly candle before a relentless rally? Feel free to let us know in the comments section below!

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