As you can see in the 4 hour chart, Bitcoin is currently violating a 4 day trend on the 4 hour chart. This doesn't mean Bitcoin is going lower, but the chance of it going lower has certainly increased. If we can close above this trend line, we should be okay, if we close again below it, it doesn't look good.
My goal is to find the best risk:reward setups. For instance, if you risk $1,000 at a chance to make $5,000, you can afford to be wrong 4 out of 5 times and still not lose money. I hit my targets over 50% of the time.