매매일지
评论:
red line for hopium
red line for hopium
评论:
poc was 47491, its now 46386.
absorbed or sold ? leaning on distribution still.
volume surge towards resistance = evidence of supply.
poc was 47491, its now 46386.
absorbed or sold ? leaning on distribution still.
volume surge towards resistance = evidence of supply.
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Note
Big flows into bonds this coming week; risk off
Big flows into bonds this coming week; risk off
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Note
eager longs will be punished.
eager longs will be punished.
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red line shows bullas hopium.
dont see a any good retest of spring action.
i will only consider margin long if price reclaims and support on poc,
or market shows some signs of strength ( from spots )
red line shows bullas hopium.
dont see a any good retest of spring action.
i will only consider margin long if price reclaims and support on poc,
or market shows some signs of strength ( from spots )
评论:
those red box is good buy opp anyway if it given.
those red box is good buy opp anyway if it given.
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评论:
note
if price reclaims positive delta zone 44.9.
this will be a new range low, till then its range high.
if price reclaims positive delta zone 44.9.
this will be a new range low, till then its range high.
评论:
note
opposite view based on TA
3 drives reversal pattern
bullish divergence
note
opposite view based on TA
3 drives reversal pattern
bullish divergence
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for the W(in)
for the W(in)
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评论:
note
why CO made a range up here? and dumped on fresh demand?
btc going to further dip? like 30k?
check back later
why CO made a range up here? and dumped on fresh demand?
btc going to further dip? like 30k?
check back later
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评论:
AKA 2nd spring?
AKA 2nd spring?
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Not longing under 47300.
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derivative rally like 42-58k = not healthy, why volume is not moderate.
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47k is poc for this whole range up.
don't see good market buy action coming in from spot.
big longs opened in finex, not sure if its sustainable.
don't see good market buy action coming in from spot.
big longs opened in finex, not sure if its sustainable.
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note
March 26 Derebit options expiry
Notional Value 3.5b
Put/Call ratio 0.91
2 potential calls buying with bigger value 48k, 52k
puts - 40k Max pain > 28k
March 26 Derebit options expiry
Notional Value 3.5b
Put/Call ratio 0.91
2 potential calls buying with bigger value 48k, 52k
puts - 40k Max pain > 28k
评论:
note
Btc - Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)
Price: $46,380
Spot Vol.
Buy: $72.7M
Sell: $77.5M
Derivs Vol.
Buy: $331.2M
Sell: $386.3M
USDT Vol.
Buy: $22.3M
Sell: $20.8M
(Latest 1 hours of data)
Btc - Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)
Price: $46,380
Spot Vol.
Buy: $72.7M
Sell: $77.5M
Derivs Vol.
Buy: $331.2M
Sell: $386.3M
USDT Vol.
Buy: $22.3M
Sell: $20.8M
(Latest 1 hours of data)
评论:
note
Deribit BTC Options
Call OI：95870 (+2%) Vol：$14M (-18%)
Put OI：80135 (+1%) Vol：$14M (+16%)
PCR：77 (+1%)
RD】3/5 (8:00 UTC) C 9289 / P 9650
YE】3/12 C 4864 / P 4076
PL】3/19 C 1888 / P 1964
GN】3/26 C 39826 / P 36170
BL】4/30 C 5221 / P 4134
210301 13:35
Deribit BTC Options
Call OI：95870 (+2%) Vol：$14M (-18%)
Put OI：80135 (+1%) Vol：$14M (+16%)
PCR：77 (+1%)
RD】3/5 (8:00 UTC) C 9289 / P 9650
YE】3/12 C 4864 / P 4076
PL】3/19 C 1888 / P 1964
GN】3/26 C 39826 / P 36170
BL】4/30 C 5221 / P 4134
210301 13:35
评论:
note
bounced with push on derivatives.
no signs of strength on spot market.
relief rally possible. no bias here, leaning we do have more downside after this.
bounced with push on derivatives.
no signs of strength on spot market.
relief rally possible. no bias here, leaning we do have more downside after this.
评论:
yellow box btc face supply
yellow box btc face supply
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zoom out.
its another accumulation. dont know the bottom, top.
should be defined soon.
zoom out.
its another accumulation. dont know the bottom, top.
should be defined soon.
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wyckoff theory / volume anal
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volume has trend
volume has trend
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note
47753 CB POC
note
47753 CB POC
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46891 FINEX
46891 FINEX
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note
finex premium gone when this range poc reversed.
finex premium gone when this range poc reversed.
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continuation vs reaccumulation
continuation target should be around over 69k
reaccumulation target range around 33-40 (with possible spring to 29k)
continuation target should be around over 69k
reaccumulation target range around 33-40 (with possible spring to 29k)
评论:
black ghost pattern if its continuation
black ghost pattern if its continuation
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open a position after confirmation, y loss bottom or top, but there is many move to come with.
open a position after confirmation, y loss bottom or top, but there is many move to come with.
评论:
its like dec 2020. no moderate volume in rise, but it broke upward without strength.
sideline for now
its like dec 2020. no moderate volume in rise, but it broke upward without strength.
sideline for now
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Btc - Buy vs Sell (Spot vs Derivs)
Price: $49,477
Spot Vol.
Buy: $257.9M
Sell: $172.1M
Derivs Vol.
Buy: $1B
Sell: $1B
USDT Vol.
Buy: $18.1M
Sell: $35.3M
(Latest 1 hours of data)
Price: $49,477
Spot Vol.
Buy: $257.9M
Sell: $172.1M
Derivs Vol.
Buy: $1B
Sell: $1B
USDT Vol.
Buy: $18.1M
Sell: $35.3M
(Latest 1 hours of data)
评论:
382 support for leg up? 34k for reaccumulation?
382 support for leg up? 34k for reaccumulation?
评论:
reclaim 618, i will look for long,
until then hedged with btc short.
until then hedged with btc short.
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small prints from last day, keep getting smaller smaller.
lots of onchain movements.
exchanges seems refunding.
note
same happened last nov.30 ish, dec 25ish.
lots of onchain movements.
exchanges seems refunding.
note
same happened last nov.30 ish, dec 25ish.
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4 hour vwap 46550
1 hour vwap 49002
1 hour vwap 49002
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poc 46372
around 46k would be good point if y look for long.
not interested atm.
around 46k would be good point if y look for long.
not interested atm.
评论:
note
dxy showing strength
note
dxy showing strength
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lots of absorption on range high
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and alts recovered well.
hmm? up we go?
and alts recovered well.
hmm? up we go?
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im buying spot btc.
交易结束：到达目标:
seems we going to have red weeks ahead (2-4weeks)