WyckoffMode

Still Downward Pressure; Any Decent Move Up Likely a Bull Trap!

BITSTAMP:BTCUSD   比特币
As pointed out in this video, we are currently in a race with the White Energy in the 2-Day and the Red RSI in the 4-Day. We have approximately 15 hours remaining in the current 2-Day and 4-Day time frames. At which point I'm anticipating the Red RSI in the 4-Day to win the race to the 50 level before the White Energy in the 2-Day can "close" above the 50 level. Which means we will ignore the White Energy in the 2-Day and turn our focus to the White Energy in the 4-Day; as well as the Red RSI in the 8-Day Time Frame. We "must" conclude we are still in downward pressure until the White Energy can win a race to the 50 level. Does this mean we ignore the White Energy and the Green Line in lower time frames; such as the 12h, Daily and 2-Day? No, because we can look for clues in those time frames to determine if our downward pressure may come to a close and reverse to sustained upward pressure before the race between the White Energy in the 4-Day and the Red RSI in the 8-Day comes to a head.

It's also quite obvious we continue with this downward pressure at least to mid September because of current development with the Red RSI in the 4-Day likely to win the race with the White Energy in the 2-Day. How long into September or October this downward pressure progresses remains to be seen. We'll know more by mid September. In the meantime, I would be very hesitant to create a margin long with low leverage just yet. One must also be hesitant to open a margin short position. If I were given a choice between the two and I was forced to choose one or the other, I would choose margin short on low volume. Where could the price potentially fall to? Well, the next stop would be the 50-EMA in the Weekly in my opinion; similar to what was done in August, 2016 going down to the 50-EMA in the Weekly during the BitFinex hack. It's possible it could fall down only to the 0.786 FIB ReTrace between $9,508 and $9,610. However, judging by how many margin longs compared to margin shorts we currently have on BitFinex; I would not be surprised if we fell deeper to around $8,2xx.

Appreciate your continued support and as always... Stay Awesome!

David

免责声明

这些信息和出版物并不意味着也不构成TradingView提供或认可的金融、投资、交易或其它类型的建议或背书。请在使用条款阅读更多信息。