Just before this volatility period begins in earnest

9月11日

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Although it is a short rise, the StochRSI indicator is already showing signs of entering the overbought zone.

Accordingly, the key is whether it can maintain the price above the MS-Signal indicator (M-Signal on the 1D chart) while receiving support near 56150.01-56950.56 and rising above 57889.10.

If not,
1st: 54730.0
2nd: 52137.67
You should check for support near the 1st and 2nd above.

Currently, since the M-Signal of the 1W chart > M-Signal of the 1D chart > M-Signal of the 1M chart, we need to check if it can lead to a movement to change the M-Signal of the 1D chart > M-Signal of the 1W chart.

Therefore, if it rises above 57889.10,
1st: 59053.55
2nd: 60672.0-61099.25
You can trade depending on whether there is support near the 1st and 2nd above.

The volatility period will begin soon.

As we pass around September 13 (September 12-14), we need to check in which direction it deviates from the 52137.617-61099.25 range and respond accordingly.



We are always at a crossroads.

I think we need to observe the flow of funds in the coin market to make a clearer choice at this crossroads.

It is not easy for individual investors to know the flow of funds.

We can only briefly understand the flow of funds due to stable coins such as USDT and USDC.

Currently, USDT is sideways, and USDC is gapping up, which is the driving force behind the coin market.

However, I think that USDT needs to gap up for the market to start a real uptrend.

Therefore, we need to think about how to increase the number of coins and tokens corresponding to profits while trading from a short-term perspective for the current uptrend.

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Have a good time.
Thank you.

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- ​​Big picture

It is expected that the real uptrend will start after rising above 29K.

The section expected to be touched in the next bull market is 81K-95K.

#BTCUSD 12M

1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15

These are points where resistance is likely to occur in the future.
We need to check if these points can be broken upward.

Since I think it can create a new trend in the overshooting section, I need to check the movement when this section is touched.

#BTCUSD 1M

If the major uptrend continues until 2025, it is expected to create a pull back pattern and start after rising to around 57014.33.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55

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9月11日

注释

After publishing an idea, I added an explanation as an idea update to maintain the continuity of this idea.

However, since the idea was not exposed due to the newly updated content, I decided to publish the idea every day until it was exposed.

Accordingly, there is a disadvantage that it may be seen as a content that overturns the previous explanation.

I would appreciate it if you would be aware that this may cause confusion in understanding my explanation.

In the future, in order to prevent confusion about my ideas, I will try to clarify that the ideas that are continuous with the previous idea have continuity with the previous content.

Since my perspective is more than a short-term perspective, it may not be suitable for those who engage in day trading or short-term trading.

Therefore, those who engage in day trading or short-term trading are recommended to refer to the explanation of the movement during the volatile period when rapid volatility is likely to occur and trade according to the movement during that period.

If I write my thoughts every time, I think it is virtually impossible to know why it is like that.

So, I thought there might be a way to make my thoughts as objective as possible so that everyone can understand them, and that's why I created the HA-MS indicator.

If you understand this indicator, I think you'll already understand what I'm going to explain.

9月11日

注释

I think that the fact that an upper or lower tail is created means that there has been a sharp volatility.

This shows that a lot of trading has taken place.

However, this tells us little.


We can only tell whether funds are flowing into the coin market or flowing out depending on whether a gap occurs in USDT or USDC.

Since it seems that a gap increase is currently occurring, we can tell that funds have flowed into the coin market.