Monthly Expected Trading Strategy
已更新
Hello traders!
If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
What we need to keep an eye on is the movement in April 2021.
This is because at this time, the StochRSI indicator began to decline from the peak of the overbought range.
We need to check whether the upcoming month of April looks the same as April 2021 and seek ways to respond.
If not, there is a possibility that you will be embarrassed by the volatility and not be able to do anything.
(USDT 1M chart)
It appears that more funds have flowed into the coin market since April 2021.
And, the period when funds began to leak out of the coin market in earnest began in May 2022.
This phenomenon is different from what I have said so far, which is that in order for the coin market to show a downward trend, USDT must show a gap decline.
What I wanted to say was that a full-blown downtrend would eventually occur when funds began to flow out of the coin market.
Therefore, I think you understand how a full-fledged decline progresses.
----------------------------------------
When you look at the BTCUSDT chart, you can see that the full-fledged decline began in May 2022, and it continued to fall below the MS-Signal indicator.
Therefore, it can be inferred that even if the decline continues in the coming April, the full-fledged decline will eventually proceed only when the price falls below the MS-Signal indicator.
Therefore, you need to think about what trading strategy can maximize your profits until the price falls below the MS-Signal indicator.
(1M charts)
Accordingly, let us explain an example trading strategy as follows.
It is essential to have a trading strategy on how to respond when the price falls below the 59K (56K-61K) range where the movement occurred in April 2021.
This is because the most important section is the second section.
Before that, we need to select a section where we can respond in advance and buy time to maximize profits as much as possible.
To do this, you need to create a trading strategy to respond depending on whether you receive support or resistance in the first section (67K-69K).
Therefore, I think it is necessary to proceed with a split sale if the price rises above 1.27 (73308.95).
The expected target this time is around 1.618 (88913.24), but there is a possibility that it will fall around 1.414 (79765.89).
The reason is that the M-shaped pattern was created from April to November 2021.
If it rises to around 1.414 (79765.89) this April, the bottom section of the M-shaped pattern is expected to be the second section.
If there is no support in the second section and a further decline occurs, there is a possibility that it will touch around 42K-43K.
The reason is that an important volume profile section is formed around 42283.58.
However, there is one variable.
That is, when the price starts to fall, there is a high possibility that a new HA-High will be created.
Accordingly, I think there is a high possibility that a new HA-High indicator will be created when the price falls below the first range and shows a downward trend.
I think the approximate location will be around the second section.
The creation of the HA-High indicator means that the created point is the boundary point of the high point.
In other words, anything above the HA-High indicator corresponds to the high point, and anything below it means that there is a high possibility of a sharp drop.
Therefore, if you first touch the HA-High indicator, you should check whether it is supported or resisted before any interpretation and create a trading strategy.
Therefore, you need to think ahead and create a trading strategy beyond what I mentioned above.
The HA-Low indicator has not yet been created on the BTCUSDT 1M chart.
What this means is that BTCUSDT has not yet made a bottom.
Therefore, if the HA-Low indicator is created and supported on the 1M chart, it is a very important buying time from a long-term perspective.
Let me say this again, if a full-fledged decline begins, no one knows how far it will fall.
However, you don't need to worry too much.
This is because BTC has already been launched as an investment product in the stock market.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
If you "Follow" us, you can always get new information quickly.
Please also click “Boost”.
Have a good day.
-------------------------------------
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
What we need to keep an eye on is the movement in April 2021.
This is because at this time, the StochRSI indicator began to decline from the peak of the overbought range.
We need to check whether the upcoming month of April looks the same as April 2021 and seek ways to respond.
If not, there is a possibility that you will be embarrassed by the volatility and not be able to do anything.
(USDT 1M chart)
It appears that more funds have flowed into the coin market since April 2021.
And, the period when funds began to leak out of the coin market in earnest began in May 2022.
This phenomenon is different from what I have said so far, which is that in order for the coin market to show a downward trend, USDT must show a gap decline.
What I wanted to say was that a full-blown downtrend would eventually occur when funds began to flow out of the coin market.
Therefore, I think you understand how a full-fledged decline progresses.
----------------------------------------
When you look at the BTCUSDT chart, you can see that the full-fledged decline began in May 2022, and it continued to fall below the MS-Signal indicator.
Therefore, it can be inferred that even if the decline continues in the coming April, the full-fledged decline will eventually proceed only when the price falls below the MS-Signal indicator.
Therefore, you need to think about what trading strategy can maximize your profits until the price falls below the MS-Signal indicator.
(1M charts)
Accordingly, let us explain an example trading strategy as follows.
It is essential to have a trading strategy on how to respond when the price falls below the 59K (56K-61K) range where the movement occurred in April 2021.
This is because the most important section is the second section.
Before that, we need to select a section where we can respond in advance and buy time to maximize profits as much as possible.
To do this, you need to create a trading strategy to respond depending on whether you receive support or resistance in the first section (67K-69K).
Therefore, I think it is necessary to proceed with a split sale if the price rises above 1.27 (73308.95).
The expected target this time is around 1.618 (88913.24), but there is a possibility that it will fall around 1.414 (79765.89).
The reason is that the M-shaped pattern was created from April to November 2021.
If it rises to around 1.414 (79765.89) this April, the bottom section of the M-shaped pattern is expected to be the second section.
If there is no support in the second section and a further decline occurs, there is a possibility that it will touch around 42K-43K.
The reason is that an important volume profile section is formed around 42283.58.
However, there is one variable.
That is, when the price starts to fall, there is a high possibility that a new HA-High will be created.
Accordingly, I think there is a high possibility that a new HA-High indicator will be created when the price falls below the first range and shows a downward trend.
I think the approximate location will be around the second section.
The creation of the HA-High indicator means that the created point is the boundary point of the high point.
In other words, anything above the HA-High indicator corresponds to the high point, and anything below it means that there is a high possibility of a sharp drop.
Therefore, if you first touch the HA-High indicator, you should check whether it is supported or resisted before any interpretation and create a trading strategy.
Therefore, you need to think ahead and create a trading strategy beyond what I mentioned above.
The HA-Low indicator has not yet been created on the BTCUSDT 1M chart.
What this means is that BTCUSDT has not yet made a bottom.
Therefore, if the HA-Low indicator is created and supported on the 1M chart, it is a very important buying time from a long-term perspective.
Let me say this again, if a full-fledged decline begins, no one knows how far it will fall.
However, you don't need to worry too much.
This is because BTC has already been launched as an investment product in the stock market.
Have a good time.
thank you
--------------------------------------------------
- The big picture
The full-fledged upward trend is expected to begin when the price rises above 29K.
This is the section expected to be touched in the next bull market, 81K-95K.
#BTCUSD 12M
1st: 44234.54
2nd: 61383.23
3rd: 89126.41
101875.70-106275.10 (when overshooting)
4th: 13401.28
151166.97-157451.83 (when overshooting)
5th: 178910.15
These are points that are likely to encounter resistance in the future.
We need to see if we can break through these points upward.
Since it is thought that a new trend can be created in the overshooting area, you should check the movement when this area is touched.
#BTCUSD 1M
If the general upward trend continues until 2025, it is expected to rise to around 57014.33 and then create a pull back pattern.
1st: 43833.05
2nd: 32992.55
-----------------
注释
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)The StochRSI indicator fell in the overbought range, and StochRSI indicator < StochRSI EMA.
Accordingly, if it falls below the midpoint of the StochRSI indicator, BTC is expected to decline further.
Therefore, the key is whether it can support and rise around 69K-70231.38.
The MS-Signal indicator is rising to around 69K.
If it falls below 69K and falls below the MS-Signal indicator, a sharp drop is likely to occur, so you must think about a response plan.
If a plunge occurs,
1st: 64K
2nd: 59K (56K-61K)
You need to check if you receive support near the 1st and 2nd levels above.
If it plunges by more than -10%, aggressive buying is possible.
However, if it falls below the MS-Signal indicator, it is highly likely that it will turn into a short-term downtrend, so you need to be prepared for a further decline.
Therefore, if you purchase when the stock falls by more than -10%, you need to think carefully about how to set the weight because you must continue to buy when it falls by more than -10%.
If you fail to do so and use up all your investment money at once, you will likely become psychologically unstable and will not make much profit even if the price rises, so be careful.
注释
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)As the price rose above 70231.38, the StochRSI indicator rose above 70.
We need to sustain this move and see if we can rise above 1.27 (73308.95).
As a new month and week begins, we will create a new candle and then update again.
注释
The BW indicator is an indicator that informs the overall trend by comprehensively evaluating MACD, StochRSI, CCI, superTrend, and PVT indicators.By displaying the BW indicator included in the TS - BW indicator on the price chart, we have made it possible to intuitively check the trading period.
TS - The source value of the StochRSI indicator included in the BW indicator may have a different value than the StochRSI indicator included in the BW indicator using Close.
The main reason for making this is to use it to create trend lines.
The indicators that make up the BW indicator were expressed separately as indicators starting with BW- to check the movement of the BW indicator.
= Setting values of indicators =
(The source value used is the value of the Heikin Ashi candle.)
BW-MACD: 10, 26, 9 (Fast, Slow, Signal)
BW-StochRSI: 14, 7, 3, 3 (RSI, Stoch, K, D)
BW-CCI: 18
PVT: vt, 26 (vt, Signal)
superTrend: 3, 2 (superTend, direction)
= Main formulas of indicators =
BW-MACD indicator
MACD = (Fast + Slow) / 2
Signal = EMA(MACD, 9)
BW-StochRSI indicator
StochRSI = (K + D) / 2
BW-CCI indicator
CCI = EMA(CCI, 18)
BW-PVT indicator
Signal = EMA(vt, 26)
Since it hasn't been long since a new candle was created, I will give you a rough idea of the flow.
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)
As a bearish candle is created, the StochRSI indicator is showing a decline from the highest point.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can be converted into a rising candle.
(1W chart)
When a new candle is created, the BW indicator shows a downward trend.
Therefore, the key is whether new BW indicator points are created.
If a new BW indicator point is created, you should consider whether you can proceed with the transaction because that point corresponds to the trading period.
(1D chart)
We need to see whether the StochRSI indicator falls below 70 or rises again above 80.
At this time, the important thing is whether it can be supported and rise around 69K-70231.38.
The MS-Signal indicator is rising near 69K.
Accordingly, if it falls below the 69K-70231.38 range and falls below the MS-Signal indicator, it is likely to turn into a short-term downtrend.
However, the area around 66401.82 or 64K may act as a support zone, so you need to think about a countermeasure to this.
The M-Signal indicator on the 1W chart is rising above 56K.
Accordingly, the 59K (56K-61K) section is a strong support section.
This volatility period lasts until April 1st.
If it continues to move sideways during this period of volatility, I think there is a high possibility that the same trend will occur as the finger is pointing.
----------------------------------------------
You may think the above explanation is complicated.
The key is whether a new trading period can be achieved.
To do so, it is supported around 69K-70231.38 and rises, or falls.
注释
USDT and USDC are showing a gap decline at the same time.
If this trend continues, you may want to prepare for a decline.
As BTC falls below 69K, we need to see if it falls below the MS-Signal indicator and finds resistance.
If a sharp drop occurs, it is likely to touch around 64K.
注释
As it fell below 69K, it touched the MS-Signal indicator and rebounded.
Accordingly, we can see that the price is moving sideways around 69K-70231.38.
Accordingly, there is a growing possibility that the upward trend will continue, rising above the HA-High indicator, as shown in the section indicated by the finger.
However, we need to check whether the StochRSI indicator falls below the midpoint of 50 or whether it turns to an upward trend.
This is because the StochRSI indicator falls into a section where volatility is likely to occur because the strength of the rise or the strength of the decline becomes stronger around the 50 point.
The BW indicator is maintaining an upward trend, so if the price stays above 69K, the upward trend is likely to remain.
Otherwise, if it falls below 69K and falls below the MS-Signal indicator, there is a possibility that it will turn into a short-term downtrend, so you need to think about a countermeasure.
注释
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)It has fallen below 69K, showing a decline below the MS-Signal indicator.
Accordingly, if it fails to rise above the MS-Signal indicator, there is a possibility of a short-term downward trend.
However, you need to check whether it can be supported and rise at the 65600.0 point, which is the bottom point of the box section of the HA-High indicator, and the 66401.82 point, which is the top point of the box section of the HA-High indicator on the 1W chart.
In other words, the key is whether it can receive support around the 65600.0-66401.82 section and rise above 69K.
In order to continue the upward trend, it must receive support and rise around 59K (56K-61K).
Therefore, if the short-term downtrend continues, it is expected to determine the trend again around 59K (56K-61K).
The next period of volatility is around April 12th.
注释
(BTCUSDT 1M chart)Since it fell in the first section, I think the possibility of it falling in the second section has increased.
However, since we cannot rule out the possibility that it will receive support and rise near 64K, it is important whether it receives support around 64K.
Accordingly, if you were unable to sell in installments when it fell in the first section, there is nothing you can do at the moment.
If it falls again around 64K, I think it would be a good idea to sell it in installments.
As I mentioned earlier, it is not easy to sell in installments because it is supported around 64K and is likely to rise.
However, it is recommended to sell at a weight that can relieve some of your psychological anxiety.
If you have cash, you can buy in installments when the price is supported and rises in the secondary range.
If the price rises after purchasing in installments in the second section,
1st: 64K
2nd: 1st section
When it fails to rise above the 1st and 2nd rounds above, the portion purchased in installments is sold in installments.
If it falls below the second range, you should think that it has turned into a downward trend and think about how to respond.
However, as the price falls, there is a possibility that a new HA-High indicator may be created, so it is important to check whether the HA-High indicator is supported near it if a new one is created.
I think the third section is a strong support section and there is a high possibility of a rebound around this section.
注释
In order for the decline to continue based on the above, I think there must be an additional gap decline in USDT or USDC.
Therefore, it is necessary to check whether further gap decline in USDT or USDC occurs.
If a gap decline does not occur, the coin market is expected to sideways or maintain an upward trend.
BTC is currently falling below M-Signal (MS-Signal) on the 1D chart, so it is likely to enter a short-term downtrend.
However, we must not forget that in terms of the overall trend, BTC is still maintaining an upward trend.
注释
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)The TS-BW indicator shows that the BW indicator has entered the sideways and no change zone in an upward trend.
And, the StochRSI indicator is also located in the sideways and no change zone.
Accordingly, we need to check whether the StochRSI indicator falls further and enters the oversold zone.
If the StochRSI indicator declines further, it is necessary to check whether BTC is supported or resisted around 64K.
To create the HA-Low and HA-High indicators, they are expressed by combining the Heikin Ashi candle arrangement and the RSI indicator.
Currently, the HA RSI indicator is located at the midpoint, so if BTC falls further, the HA RSI indicator will touch the oversold zone, increasing the likelihood that the HA-Low indicator will be created.
Therefore, it is necessary to check where the HA RSI indicator is located when a new candle is created on the 1D chart.
The HA RSI indicator uses the closing price of the Heikin Ashi candle as the source value and was named the HA RSI indicator.
Since the M-Signal (MS-Signal) indicator on the 1W chart has risen to around 56K, the 59K (56K-61K) section is an important support and resistance section.
Previously, I said that if it falls below 53256.64, a full-fledged decline will occur.
However, as the M-Signal (MS-Signal) indicator on the 1W chart rises, if it falls in the 59K (56K-61K) range and shows resistance, it can be said that it has entered a full-fledged downward trend.
If it is supported and rises around 64K and rises above the MS-Signal indicator and maintains the price, it is expected to continue its upward trend.
Accordingly, the key is whether the price can be maintained by rising above 69K.
注释
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)As a new candle was created, a BW indicator point was created.
Accordingly, the key is whether it can receive support and rise around 65600.0.
However, since the StochRSI indicator has entered the oversold zone, it is important whether it can be supported around 64K.
Even if it receives support and rises, if the price cannot be maintained by rising above the MS-Signal indicator or above 66401.82, there is a possibility that it will fall again, so caution is required when trading.
The HA RSI indicator appears to have fallen below the midpoint.
Accordingly, if it falls below 64K, the possibility of a new HA-Low indicator being created increases.
If the HA-Low indicator is generated, the key is whether or not there is support around it.
If support is confirmed near the HA-Low indicator, it is time to buy.
To continue the upward trend, it must rise above 70231.38.
注释
The chart that showed a gap decline on April 1st has changed to the current shape.
In cases like this, I think it may take about 1 to 3 days for the proper tally to be completed due to the nature of the Market Cap chart.
Therefore, you should check the movements of the USDT and USDC charts before or after coin market volatility occurs.
Since USDT or USDC is showing a gap increase, it can be seen that funds have flowed into the coin market.
It is expected that this inflow of funds will eventually lead to an upward trend in the coin market.
注释
(BTCUSDT 1D chart)After this volatility, a new downtrend line was created.
This requires a closer look at the movement as it forms a downtrend line that is different from most uptrend lines.
In order to continue the upward trend, it must eventually rise above 70231.38.
However, we must first check whether support is confirmed around 69K-70231.38.
The 59K (56K-61K) section is an important support section in the overall flow.
However, before that, it is important whether it can receive support and rise around 64K-66401.82.
The reason is that if it falls below 64K-66401.82, it is likely to turn into a short-term downtrend.
Therefore, the important question is which direction you deviate from the 64K-69K range.
If it shows support near the MS-Singal indicator and the StochRSI indicator rises from the oversold range or becomes StochRSI > StochRSI EMA, it is a buying time as it is highly likely to rise.
However, in order to continue the upward trend, it must rise above the 69K-70231.38 range, so it can be said that it is located in a range that is psychologically difficult to buy.
Therefore, it is difficult to make new purchases, but if the average purchase price is low, I think it will be an opportunity to make additional purchases.
Black Friday sale 70% off :
tradingview.com/black-friday/
Other content (coins, stocks, etc.) is frequently posted on X.
X에 다른 내용(코인, 주식 등)이 자주 게시됩니다.
tradingview.com/black-friday/
Other content (coins, stocks, etc.) is frequently posted on X.
X에 다른 내용(코인, 주식 등)이 자주 게시됩니다.
相关出版物
免责声明
这些信息和出版物并不意味着也不构成TradingView提供或认可的金融、投资、交易或其它类型的建议或背书。请在使用条款阅读更多信息。