Expect the unexpected: My Bitcoin forecast for 2022

Good luck! Because you will need it.

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Inverse H&S with an upwards neckline is not reliable. Especially with btc. For a mid-term trend shift I would expect a double bottom or triple bottom and an Inverse H&S with downwards neckline just like I drew on the chart.

交易开始

Opened short at 44.2k with target of 37.2k and 32k.

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If you don't go against the trend you will win 4 times out of 5. Even if the trend is broken there will be a retest of the lows.

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Took some profits here. Expecting a pullback to around 42k

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Lower time frame trading:
Short 40.1k
TP: 39k

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TP 39k Done.

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36.5k first bear TP level:

交易结束：到达目标

Closed all shorts at my first target 37.2k. It looks like we may start flying towards 55k without getting a double bottom. If we go down I'll buy, if we go to 58k I'll short, either way we win.

交易开始

Shorted 39k with the target of 30.5k

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Reshorting 41.3-42k area

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Short squeeze to 58k while everyone is waiting for 20k.

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We may still get 30-32k before mooning to 50k+

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Approximately in 25th of March BTC bottoms out at 29-32k in my opinion. But after that for BTC to pull back to 50k+ I need to see a bullish RSI divergence and drop with low volume at 29-32k. Here is how it looks: